Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

icon for Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Oct 1

Oct 31

Oct 1

Oct 31

October 19 49%

October 20 27%

October 18 25%

October 24 25%

Polymarket
BAGO

October 19 49%

October 20 27%

October 18 25%

October 24 25%

Polymarket
BAGO

On or prior to October 1

$42 Vol.

13%

October 2

$39 Vol.

1%

October 3

$42 Vol.

5%

October 4

$42 Vol.

5%

October 5

$39 Vol.

1%

October 6

$42 Vol.

15%

October 7

$42 Vol.

14%

October 8

$42 Vol.

13%

October 9

$39 Vol.

1%

October 10

$42 Vol.

12%

October 11

$42 Vol.

14%

October 12

$42 Vol.

14%

October 13

$42 Vol.

14%

October 14

$42 Vol.

14%

October 15

$42 Vol.

14%

October 16

$42 Vol.

24%

October 17

$42 Vol.

13%

October 18

$42 Vol.

25%

October 19

$42 Vol.

49%

October 20

$42 Vol.

27%

October 21

$42 Vol.

13%

October 22

$42 Vol.

13%

October 23

$42 Vol.

13%

October 24

$42 Vol.

25%

October 25

$42 Vol.

8%

October 26

$42 Vol.

9%

October 27

$42 Vol.

1%

October 28

$42 Vol.

8%

October 29

$42 Vol.

14%

October 30

$42 Vol.

9%

October 31

$42 Vol.

9%

No release by October 31

$42 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after an I/O teaser and later pushed into July or beyond—remain the central driver behind the dispersed October odds. The model continues internal and partner testing to meet performance targets in coding, long-horizon tasks, and agentic workflows, while Google ships frequent lighter variants such as 3.8 Flash and Live models in September. Traders weigh Google’s history of conservative flagship pacing, the start of Gemini 4 pre-training, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic against the possibility of a late-month release once benchmarks stabilize. No firm public timeline has emerged, leaving resolution sensitive to any API changelog or developer-conference update.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,335
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after an I/O teaser and later pushed into July or beyond—remain the central driver behind the dispersed October odds. The model continues internal and partner testing to meet performance targets in coding, long-horizon tasks, and agentic workflows, while Google ships frequent lighter variants such as 3.8 Flash and Live models in September. Traders weigh Google’s history of conservative flagship pacing, the start of Gemini 4 pre-training, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic against the possibility of a late-month release once benchmarks stabilize. No firm public timeline has emerged, leaving resolution sensitive to any API changelog or developer-conference update.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,335
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 32 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "October 19" sa 25%, sinusundan ng "October 5" sa 24%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 25¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 25% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 22, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?," i-browse ang 32 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay "October 19" sa 25%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 25% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "October 5" sa 24%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.