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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

David Brock Smith 44.3%

Jo Rae Perkins 42%

Joe Johnson 3.8%

David Burch 2.9%

Polymarket

$73,196 Vol.

David Brock Smith 44.3%

Jo Rae Perkins 42%

Joe Johnson 3.8%

David Burch 2.9%

Polymarket

$73,196 Vol.

David Brock Smith

$1,987 Vol.

44%

Jo Rae Perkins

$12,270 Vol.

42%

Joe Johnson

$9,426 Vol.

4%

David Burch

$22,267 Vol.

3%

Tim Skelton

$8,092 Vol.

1%

Russell McAlmond

$11,833 Vol.

1%

Brent Barker

$692 Vol.

<1%

Deborah C. Brown

$722 Vol.

<1%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

$5,907 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In Oregon's Republican US Senate primary on May 19, trader consensus narrowly favors state Senator David Brock Smith at 45% over Jo Rae Perkins at 42%, reflecting Smith's March 3 campaign launch emphasizing legislative work on public safety, homelessness, and affordability against Perkins' established base from her 2020 and 2022 nominations. The tight matchup persists amid a fragmented field, with no recent polls, major endorsements, or fundraising disclosures to shift dynamics in the past 30 days—Smith's active trail presence and Port Orford roots balance Perkins' prior statewide exposure. Separation could arise from party leader backing, debate performances, or voter pamphlet impacts as early voting nears, underscoring high uncertainty in this contested primary to challenge incumbent Jeff Merkley.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$73,196
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In Oregon's Republican US Senate primary on May 19, trader consensus narrowly favors state Senator David Brock Smith at 45% over Jo Rae Perkins at 42%, reflecting Smith's March 3 campaign launch emphasizing legislative work on public safety, homelessness, and affordability against Perkins' established base from her 2020 and 2022 nominations. The tight matchup persists amid a fragmented field, with no recent polls, major endorsements, or fundraising disclosures to shift dynamics in the past 30 days—Smith's active trail presence and Port Orford roots balance Perkins' prior statewide exposure. Separation could arise from party leader backing, debate performances, or voter pamphlet impacts as early voting nears, underscoring high uncertainty in this contested primary to challenge incumbent Jeff Merkley.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$73,196
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "David Brock Smith" sa 44%, sinusundan ng "Jo Rae Perkins" sa 42%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 44¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 44% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $73.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 16, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay "David Brock Smith" sa 44%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 44% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jo Rae Perkins" sa 42%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.