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icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 63%

David Trone 37%

George Gluck 1.6%

Daniel Krakower 1.3%

Polymarket
BAGO

April McClain Delaney 63%

David Trone 37%

George Gluck 1.6%

Daniel Krakower 1.3%

Polymarket
BAGO

April McClain Delaney

$895 Vol.

63%

David Trone

$768 Vol.

37%

George Gluck

$482 Vol.

2%

Daniel Krakower

$692 Vol.

1%

Kiambo White

$1,285 Vol.

1%

Alexis Goldstein

$515 Vol.

1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$660 Vol.

1%

Altimont Wilks

$716 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds the edge in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary through strong name recognition and endorsements from state leaders including Sen. Chris Van Hollen. Recent escalations in campaign rhetoric have centered on accusations that challenger David Trone’s materials misleadingly use “Congressman” and “re-elect” language, prompting a cease-and-desist letter in late April and sustained attacks on her voting record. Trone’s self-funding and prior representation of the district from 2019 to 2025 provide counter-momentum, yet early internal polling and voter satisfaction metrics favor the sitting representative ahead of the June 23 contest. These factors sustain trader consensus around her lead while leaving room for shifts from late attacks or turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,013
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds the edge in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary through strong name recognition and endorsements from state leaders including Sen. Chris Van Hollen. Recent escalations in campaign rhetoric have centered on accusations that challenger David Trone’s materials misleadingly use “Congressman” and “re-elect” language, prompting a cease-and-desist letter in late April and sustained attacks on her voting record. Trone’s self-funding and prior representation of the district from 2019 to 2025 provide counter-momentum, yet early internal polling and voter satisfaction metrics favor the sitting representative ahead of the June 23 contest. These factors sustain trader consensus around her lead while leaving room for shifts from late attacks or turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,013
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "April McClain Delaney" sa 63%, sinusundan ng "David Trone" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 63¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 63% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong May 19, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "April McClain Delaney" sa 63%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 63% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "David Trone" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.