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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Adriano Espaillat 62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%

Oscar Romero 4.2%

Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.2%

Polymarket

$12,370 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat 62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%

Oscar Romero 4.2%

Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.2%

Polymarket

$12,370 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat

$2,980 Vol.

62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$1,248 Vol.

31%

Oscar Romero

$3,189 Vol.

4%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,047 Vol.

1%

James Felton Keith

$1,135 Vol.

1%

Megan Rodriguez

$899 Vol.

1%

Matt Miller

$1,170 Vol.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$702 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability for the June 23 NY-13 Democratic primary, bolstered by his strong incumbency in the Latino-majority Upper Manhattan district, robust Q1 fundraising exceeding $1 million, and recent endorsements from District Council 37 municipal workers union on March 25 and the Congressional Black Caucus in January. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier commands 31% on momentum from Justice Democrats and NYC Democratic Socialists of America backing since late 2025, appealing to progressive voters on affordability and foreign policy amid Crain's New York April assessment of upset potential. Absent public polls, markets price Espaillat's institutional edge over Avila's grassroots effort, with early voting from June 13 key to turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,370
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability for the June 23 NY-13 Democratic primary, bolstered by his strong incumbency in the Latino-majority Upper Manhattan district, robust Q1 fundraising exceeding $1 million, and recent endorsements from District Council 37 municipal workers union on March 25 and the Congressional Black Caucus in January. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier commands 31% on momentum from Justice Democrats and NYC Democratic Socialists of America backing since late 2025, appealing to progressive voters on affordability and foreign policy amid Crain's New York April assessment of upset potential. Absent public polls, markets price Espaillat's institutional edge over Avila's grassroots effort, with early voting from June 13 key to turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,370
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Adriano Espaillat" sa 62%, sinusundan ng "Darializa Avila Chevalier" sa 31%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 62¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $12.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 19, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Adriano Espaillat" sa 62%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Darializa Avila Chevalier" sa 31%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.