Rhode Island’s strong Democratic partisan lean in statewide contests underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election. Incumbent Dan McKee trails primary challenger Helena Foulkes in recent University of New Hampshire and other surveys ahead of the September 9 primary, yet general-election forecasts project the eventual Democratic nominee—whether Foulkes or McKee—defeating Republican Elaine Pelino by wide margins consistent with historical patterns in the state. Low probabilities for an Independent or Republican outcome reflect limited crossover appeal and the absence of recent polling showing competitive general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an upset primary result that fractures Democratic turnout, a major scandal involving the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge in a low-propensity year, though none of these currently register as material risks in available data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDemocrat 94%
Independent 2.3%
Republican 1.9%
$61,129 Vol.
$61,129 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
94%
Independent
2%
Republican
2%
Democrat 94%
Independent 2.3%
Republican 1.9%
$61,129 Vol.
$61,129 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$50,205 Vol.
94%
Independent
$1,410 Vol.
2%
Republican
$9,514 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island’s strong Democratic partisan lean in statewide contests underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election. Incumbent Dan McKee trails primary challenger Helena Foulkes in recent University of New Hampshire and other surveys ahead of the September 9 primary, yet general-election forecasts project the eventual Democratic nominee—whether Foulkes or McKee—defeating Republican Elaine Pelino by wide margins consistent with historical patterns in the state. Low probabilities for an Independent or Republican outcome reflect limited crossover appeal and the absence of recent polling showing competitive general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an upset primary result that fractures Democratic turnout, a major scandal involving the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge in a low-propensity year, though none of these currently register as material risks in available data.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$61,129Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island’s strong Democratic partisan lean in statewide contests underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election. Incumbent Dan McKee trails primary challenger Helena Foulkes in recent University of New Hampshire and other surveys ahead of the September 9 primary, yet general-election forecasts project the eventual Democratic nominee—whether Foulkes or McKee—defeating Republican Elaine Pelino by wide margins consistent with historical patterns in the state. Low probabilities for an Independent or Republican outcome reflect limited crossover appeal and the absence of recent polling showing competitive general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an upset primary result that fractures Democratic turnout, a major scandal involving the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge in a low-propensity year, though none of these currently register as material risks in available data.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$61,129Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s strong Democratic partisan lean in statewide contests underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 3, 2026, gubernatorial election. Incumbent Dan McKee trails primary challenger Helena Foulkes in recent University of New Hampshire and other surveys ahead of the September 9 primary, yet general-election forecasts project the eventual Democratic nominee—whether Foulkes or McKee—defeating Republican Elaine Pelino by wide margins consistent with historical patterns in the state. Low probabilities for an Independent or Republican outcome reflect limited crossover appeal and the absence of recent polling showing competitive general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an upset primary result that fractures Democratic turnout, a major scandal involving the nominee, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge in a low-propensity year, though none of these currently register as material risks in available data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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