Skip to main content
icon for Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026

icon for Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026

BAGO
Aug 27, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Alabama

Alabama

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Arizona

Arizona

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Arkansas

Arkansas

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for California

California

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Colorado

Colorado

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Delaware

Delaware

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Florida

Florida

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Idaho

Idaho

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Illinois

Illinois

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Indiana

Indiana

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Iowa

Iowa

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Kansas

Kansas

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Kentucky

Kentucky

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Louisiana

Louisiana

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Maryland

Maryland

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Minnesota

Minnesota

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Mississippi

Mississippi

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Missouri

Missouri

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Montana

Montana

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Nebraska

Nebraska

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Nevada

Nevada

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for New Jersey

New Jersey

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for New Mexico

New Mexico

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for North Carolina

North Carolina

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for North Dakota

North Dakota

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Ohio

Ohio

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Oklahoma

Oklahoma

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Oregon

Oregon

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for South Carolina

South Carolina

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for South Dakota

South Dakota

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Tennessee

Tennessee

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Texas

Texas

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Utah

Utah

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Virginia

Virginia

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Washington

Washington

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for West Virginia

West Virginia

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Wisconsin

Wisconsin

$0 Vol.

51%

icon for Wyoming

Wyoming

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Arizona carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arizona market and make no claim about Arizona's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arkansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Arkansas carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arkansas market and make no claim about Arkansas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if California has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". California carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no California market and make no claim about California's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colorado has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Delaware has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Delaware carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Delaware market and make no claim about Delaware's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Florida carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Florida market and make no claim about Florida's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Georgia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Georgia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Georgia market and make no claim about Georgia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Idaho carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Idaho market and make no claim about Idaho's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Illinois has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Illinois carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Illinois market and make no claim about Illinois's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Indiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Indiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Indiana market and make no claim about Indiana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iowa has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Iowa carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Iowa market and make no claim about Iowa's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Kansas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kansas market and make no claim about Kansas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kentucky has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Kentucky carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kentucky market and make no claim about Kentucky's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louisiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Louisiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Louisiana market and make no claim about Louisiana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maryland has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Maryland carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Maryland market and make no claim about Maryland's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Minnesota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Minnesota carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Minnesota market and make no claim about Minnesota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mississippi has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Mississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Missouri carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Missouri market and make no claim about Missouri's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Montana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Montana carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Montana market and make no claim about Montana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nebraska has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Nevada carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nevada market and make no claim about Nevada's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Jersey has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". New Jersey carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Jersey market and make no claim about New Jersey's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Mexico has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". New Mexico carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Mexico market and make no claim about New Mexico's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". North Carolina carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Carolina market and make no claim about North Carolina's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". North Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Dakota market and make no claim about North Dakota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ohio has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Ohio carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Ohio market and make no claim about Ohio's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oklahoma has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Oklahoma carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oklahoma market and make no claim about Oklahoma's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oregon has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Oregon carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oregon market and make no claim about Oregon's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pennsylvania has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Pennsylvania carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Pennsylvania market and make no claim about Pennsylvania's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". South Carolina carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Carolina market and make no claim about South Carolina's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". South Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Dakota market and make no claim about South Dakota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tennessee has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Tennessee carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Tennessee market and make no claim about Tennessee's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Texas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Texas market and make no claim about Texas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Utah has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Utah carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Utah market and make no claim about Utah's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Virginia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Virginia market and make no claim about Virginia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Washington carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Washington market and make no claim about Washington's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if West Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". West Virginia carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no West Virginia market and make no claim about West Virginia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wisconsin has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Wisconsin carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wisconsin market and make no claim about Wisconsin's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wyoming has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Wyoming carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wyoming market and make no claim about Wyoming's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Persistent dryness and above-normal temperatures across the Northern and Central Plains, High Plains, and interior West continue to sustain D4 conditions, with current U.S. Drought Monitor data (valid August 18, 2026) showing exceptional drought in western Nebraska, parts of Colorado, northeastern Oregon, and far southern Idaho amid multi-week precipitation deficits below 25% of normal. Recent heavy rainfall improved conditions in the Midwest and Southeast, while degradation occurred in the Southern Plains and Northwest, keeping national D4 coverage near 0.9%. The next USDM release, expected around August 27 and based on data through August 25, will incorporate 6-10 day precipitation outlooks favoring above-normal totals along the northern East Coast but drier patterns elsewhere, alongside any model consensus shifts from NOAA and CPC.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".

Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.

Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.

Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.

The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Arizona carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arizona market and make no claim about Arizona's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arkansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Arkansas carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Arkansas market and make no claim about Arkansas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if California has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". California carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no California market and make no claim about California's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colorado has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Delaware has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Delaware carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Delaware market and make no claim about Delaware's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Florida carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Florida market and make no claim about Florida's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Georgia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Georgia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Georgia market and make no claim about Georgia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Idaho has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Idaho carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Idaho market and make no claim about Idaho's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Illinois has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Illinois carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Illinois market and make no claim about Illinois's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Indiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Indiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Indiana market and make no claim about Indiana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iowa has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Iowa carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Iowa market and make no claim about Iowa's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kansas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Kansas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kansas market and make no claim about Kansas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kentucky has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Kentucky carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Kentucky market and make no claim about Kentucky's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louisiana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Louisiana carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Louisiana market and make no claim about Louisiana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maryland has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Maryland carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Maryland market and make no claim about Maryland's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Minnesota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Minnesota carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Minnesota market and make no claim about Minnesota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mississippi has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Mississippi carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Mississippi market and make no claim about Mississippi's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Missouri carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Missouri market and make no claim about Missouri's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Montana has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Montana carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Montana market and make no claim about Montana's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nebraska has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Nebraska carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nebraska market and make no claim about Nebraska's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Nevada carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Nevada market and make no claim about Nevada's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Jersey has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". New Jersey carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Jersey market and make no claim about New Jersey's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Mexico has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". New Mexico carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Mexico market and make no claim about New Mexico's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". North Carolina carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Carolina market and make no claim about North Carolina's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". North Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Dakota market and make no claim about North Dakota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ohio has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Ohio carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Ohio market and make no claim about Ohio's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oklahoma has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Oklahoma carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oklahoma market and make no claim about Oklahoma's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oregon has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Oregon carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Oregon market and make no claim about Oregon's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pennsylvania has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Pennsylvania carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Pennsylvania market and make no claim about Pennsylvania's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". South Carolina carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Carolina market and make no claim about South Carolina's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if South Dakota has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". South Dakota carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no South Dakota market and make no claim about South Dakota's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tennessee has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Tennessee carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Tennessee market and make no claim about Tennessee's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Texas carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Texas market and make no claim about Texas's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Utah has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Utah carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Utah market and make no claim about Utah's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Virginia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Virginia market and make no claim about Virginia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Washington carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Washington market and make no claim about Washington's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if West Virginia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". West Virginia carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no West Virginia market and make no claim about West Virginia's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wisconsin has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Wisconsin carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wisconsin market and make no claim about Wisconsin's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wyoming has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Wyoming carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Wyoming market and make no claim about Wyoming's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Persistent dryness and above-normal temperatures across the Northern and Central Plains, High Plains, and interior West continue to sustain D4 conditions, with current U.S. Drought Monitor data (valid August 18, 2026) showing exceptional drought in western Nebraska, parts of Colorado, northeastern Oregon, and far southern Idaho amid multi-week precipitation deficits below 25% of normal. Recent heavy rainfall improved conditions in the Midwest and Southeast, while degradation occurred in the Southern Plains and Northwest, keeping national D4 coverage near 0.9%. The next USDM release, expected around August 27 and based on data through August 25, will incorporate 6-10 day precipitation outlooks favoring above-normal totals along the northern East Coast but drier patterns elsewhere, alongside any model consensus shifts from NOAA and CPC.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".

Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.

Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.

Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.

The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alabama has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of August 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid August 25, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 40+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Wisconsin" sa 51%, sinusundan ng "Alabama" sa 50%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 51¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 51% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 20, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026," i-browse ang 40+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026" ay "Wisconsin" sa 51%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 51% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alabama" sa 50%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of August 25, 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.