Ongoing hostilities and stalled US-mediated talks continue to shape trader views on the slim prospects for a Ukrainian peace referendum before 2027. Recent September 2026 visits by US envoys to Moscow and Kyiv produced no breakthrough, with Russia reiterating territorial demands and trilateral discussions only tentatively eyed for October. Constitutional restrictions under martial law, the need for a sustained ceasefire, and parliamentary or signature thresholds for any territorial vote add structural barriers. Earlier 2026 polling showed divided public support that has softened over time. A rapid diplomatic resolution yielding verifiable security guarantees and a short ceasefire window remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$68,934 Vol.
$68,934 Vol.
$68,934 Vol.
$68,934 Vol.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070be91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070be91...Ongoing hostilities and stalled US-mediated talks continue to shape trader views on the slim prospects for a Ukrainian peace referendum before 2027. Recent September 2026 visits by US envoys to Moscow and Kyiv produced no breakthrough, with Russia reiterating territorial demands and trilateral discussions only tentatively eyed for October. Constitutional restrictions under martial law, the need for a sustained ceasefire, and parliamentary or signature thresholds for any territorial vote add structural barriers. Earlier 2026 polling showed divided public support that has softened over time. A rapid diplomatic resolution yielding verifiable security guarantees and a short ceasefire window remains the primary scenario that could still shift probabilities before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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