Recent polling ahead of Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections shows A Just Russia (SR) hovering near or slightly above the 5% proportional representation threshold, with state pollsters like FOM and VTsIOM placing it between 4-7% in recent surveys amid fluctuations. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, has maintained its parliamentary status through Kremlin-aligned positioning, including support for excluding non-systemic competitors like Yabloko, while relying on single-member district results and managed electoral processes to clear the barrier. Trader consensus at 57.5% for clearing reflects this combination of borderline national list performance, historical precedent for systemic opposition parties receiving administrative stability, and uncertainty over final turnout and vote distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update59% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
59% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polling ahead of Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections shows A Just Russia (SR) hovering near or slightly above the 5% proportional representation threshold, with state pollsters like FOM and VTsIOM placing it between 4-7% in recent surveys amid fluctuations. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, has maintained its parliamentary status through Kremlin-aligned positioning, including support for excluding non-systemic competitors like Yabloko, while relying on single-member district results and managed electoral processes to clear the barrier. Trader consensus at 57.5% for clearing reflects this combination of borderline national list performance, historical precedent for systemic opposition parties receiving administrative stability, and uncertainty over final turnout and vote distribution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polling ahead of Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections shows A Just Russia (SR) hovering near or slightly above the 5% proportional representation threshold, with state pollsters like FOM and VTsIOM placing it between 4-7% in recent surveys amid fluctuations. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, has maintained its parliamentary status through Kremlin-aligned positioning, including support for excluding non-systemic competitors like Yabloko, while relying on single-member district results and managed electoral processes to clear the barrier. Trader consensus at 57.5% for clearing reflects this combination of borderline national list performance, historical precedent for systemic opposition parties receiving administrative stability, and uncertainty over final turnout and vote distribution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling ahead of Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections shows A Just Russia (SR) hovering near or slightly above the 5% proportional representation threshold, with state pollsters like FOM and VTsIOM placing it between 4-7% in recent surveys amid fluctuations. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, has maintained its parliamentary status through Kremlin-aligned positioning, including support for excluding non-systemic competitors like Yabloko, while relying on single-member district results and managed electoral processes to clear the barrier. Trader consensus at 57.5% for clearing reflects this combination of borderline national list performance, historical precedent for systemic opposition parties receiving administrative stability, and uncertainty over final turnout and vote distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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