Skip to main content
icon for Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?

Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?

icon for Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?

Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?

Jun 30

Jun 30

$1,671,150 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,671,150 Vol.

Polymarket

Hunyo 30

$586,387 Vol.

99%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,671,150
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Na-propose ang outcome: Oo

Nai-dispute

Na-propose ang outcome: Oo

Nai-dispute

Pinal na review

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,671,150
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Na-propose ang outcome: Oo

Nai-dispute

Na-propose ang outcome: Oo

Nai-dispute

Pinal na review

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Hunyo 30" sa 99%, sinusundan ng "Enero 10" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 99¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay naka-generate ng $1.7 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 3, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay "Hunyo 30" sa 99%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Enero 10" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ang mga pwersa ng US ay pumasok muli sa Venezuela sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.