Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for US military draft authorization in 2026, driven by the absence of any congressional bills, votes, or executive actions proposing conscription amid an all-volunteer force since 1973. Recent April 9 announcements confirmed automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18-25 begins December 2026 via the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed by President Trump, streamlining the existing draft pool without activating it—sparking online fears tied to US-Iran tensions but no policy shift toward induction. Activation requires new legislation repealing volunteer-only status, presidential proclamation, and lottery; recruitment challenges prompted Army enlistment age hikes to 42 instead. No hearings or deadlines loom, underscoring high barriers despite geopolitical strains.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$179,532 Vol.
$179,532 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$179,532 Vol.
$179,532 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for US military draft authorization in 2026, driven by the absence of any congressional bills, votes, or executive actions proposing conscription amid an all-volunteer force since 1973. Recent April 9 announcements confirmed automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18-25 begins December 2026 via the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed by President Trump, streamlining the existing draft pool without activating it—sparking online fears tied to US-Iran tensions but no policy shift toward induction. Activation requires new legislation repealing volunteer-only status, presidential proclamation, and lottery; recruitment challenges prompted Army enlistment age hikes to 42 instead. No hearings or deadlines loom, underscoring high barriers despite geopolitical strains.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volume
$179,532Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for US military draft authorization in 2026, driven by the absence of any congressional bills, votes, or executive actions proposing conscription amid an all-volunteer force since 1973. Recent April 9 announcements confirmed automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18-25 begins December 2026 via the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed by President Trump, streamlining the existing draft pool without activating it—sparking online fears tied to US-Iran tensions but no policy shift toward induction. Activation requires new legislation repealing volunteer-only status, presidential proclamation, and lottery; recruitment challenges prompted Army enlistment age hikes to 42 instead. No hearings or deadlines loom, underscoring high barriers despite geopolitical strains.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$179,532Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for US military draft authorization in 2026, driven by the absence of any congressional bills, votes, or executive actions proposing conscription amid an all-volunteer force since 1973. Recent April 9 announcements confirmed automatic Selective Service registration for men ages 18-25 begins December 2026 via the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act signed by President Trump, streamlining the existing draft pool without activating it—sparking online fears tied to US-Iran tensions but no policy shift toward induction. Activation requires new legislation repealing volunteer-only status, presidential proclamation, and lottery; recruitment challenges prompted Army enlistment age hikes to 42 instead. No hearings or deadlines loom, underscoring high barriers despite geopolitical strains.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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