On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, to halt hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, waive certain oil sanctions during talks, and launch 60 days of nuclear negotiations. The framework, mediated in part by Pakistan, sets a signing date of June 19 in Switzerland, with both sides confirming agreed wording. Media outlets obtained and published draft and full text details shortly afterward, including a 14-point structure covering ceasefire terms, sanctions relief pathways, and economic incentives tied to compliance. President Trump indicated public release would follow the ceremony, while administration briefings have already disclosed core elements. These developments have aligned trader consensus with rapid disclosure, as verified primary reporting and official statements confirm the text is now available ahead of the formal signing.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Na-propose ang outcome: No
Nai-dispute
Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Nai-dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, to halt hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, waive certain oil sanctions during talks, and launch 60 days of nuclear negotiations. The framework, mediated in part by Pakistan, sets a signing date of June 19 in Switzerland, with both sides confirming agreed wording. Media outlets obtained and published draft and full text details shortly afterward, including a 14-point structure covering ceasefire terms, sanctions relief pathways, and economic incentives tied to compliance. President Trump indicated public release would follow the ceremony, while administration briefings have already disclosed core elements. These developments have aligned trader consensus with rapid disclosure, as verified primary reporting and official statements confirm the text is now available ahead of the formal signing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Jun 18 2026
Media outlets publish full text of US-Iran deal
June 17 rises to 100%2%
On June 18, 2026, multiple major news organizations published the full text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, confirming the text's wide public availability. This led to the market price reaching 100% for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes, indicating consensus that the text was released.
Jun 17 2026
US officially releases full 14-point memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 98%39%
The United States government officially released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, including provisions on ceasefire, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This official release confirmed the authenticity of the text and caused the market price to surge to near 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US releases full 14-point agreement text with Iran
June 17 surges to 100%64%
On June 17, 2026, the United States officially released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This public release confirmed the text's availability, causing a sharp rise in market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
Iran publishes official 14-point agreement text
June 17 surges to 100%64%
Iran's government published its copy of the 14-point framework deal on June 17, 2026, matching the US release and confirming the text's authenticity. This reinforced market confidence that the agreement text was widely available, supporting the price surge.
Jun 17 2026
Senior US official reads full text of US-Iran memorandum to reporters
June 17 surges to 100%64%
A senior US administration official publicly read the full 14-point memorandum of understanding on June 17, 2026, providing detailed provisions and timelines. This official disclosure further confirmed the text's public availability, solidifying market certainty.
Jun 17 2026
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly shares full US-Iran deal text
June 17 rises to 100%3%
On June 17, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian published the full text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding on his official social media account, confirming the authenticity and public availability of the agreement text. This official release further solidified market confidence, pushing prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes to 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US officials publicly release full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding
June 17 rises to 100%3%
On June 17, US officials publicly read out and released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, confirming the details of the agreement including ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear negotiation framework. This official disclosure confirmed the public availability of the agreement text, supporting the market's resolution to 'Yes' for June 17 and June 30.
Jun 17 2026
US releases official 14-point agreement text with Iran
The United States officially released the 14-point memorandum of understanding text, detailing the terms of the ceasefire, sanctions relief, and nuclear negotiations. This official release, alongside Iran's publication, confirmed the text's wide public availability and led to the market price reaching 100% for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
US officially releases full text of 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran
June 17 surges to 100%41%
On June 17, the United States government officially released the full text of the memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This official release confirmed the text's wide availability to the public, causing the market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes to reach 100%.
Jun 17 2026
Iran publishes its copy of the 14-point US-Iran framework deal
June 17 surges to 100%41%
On June 17, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian published Tehran's copy of the 14-point framework deal, matching the US release and confirming the text's authenticity and public availability. This further solidified market confidence in the text's release.
Jun 17 2026
Bloomberg reports Iran to resume oil exports under interim US deal
June 17 surges to 55%23%
On June 17, Bloomberg reported that Iran would be allowed to immediately start oil exports under the interim deal with the US, citing a draft of the agreement. This report included verbatim text excerpts, confirming public access to the agreement's wording.
Jun 17 2026
Insurance Journal publishes full 14-point draft memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 55%23%
Insurance Journal published the full text of the 14-point draft MoU on June 17, including detailed provisions about lifting the naval blockade and restoring shipping traffic, confirming the agreement text was widely available to the public.
Jun 17 2026
CNN Obtains and Publishes Full Text of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
June 17 surges to 83%40%
CNN published the full 14-point text of the memorandum of understanding obtained from a US official, confirming the exact wording of the agreement and causing a final surge in the June 17 and June 19 markets.
Jun 17 2026
US administration publicly releases full text of 14-point US-Iran agreement
June 17 surges to 100%70%
On June 17, 2026, the US government officially released the full text of the memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing the ceasefire extension, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear program provisions. This public disclosure met the market's resolution criteria, causing prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes to surge to 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US administration officially releases full 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 100%68%
On June 17, 2026, a senior US administration official publicly read out and provided the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran. This official release included detailed provisions on ceasefire, sanctions relief, nuclear commitments, and economic plans, fulfilling the market's criteria for public availability of the agreement text and causing a sharp rise in market prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
Multiple major news outlets publish full text of US-Iran agreement
June 17 surges to 100%45%
On June 17, major news organizations including CNN, The New York Times, Time, Euronews, and NBC News published the full text of the US-Iran 14-point agreement, confirming its wide public availability. This broad media dissemination solidified market confidence that the agreement text was publicly released by June 17.
Jun 17 2026
Senior US officials publicly read and release official 14-point US-Iran agreement text
June 17 surges to 100%17%
On June 17, senior US administration officials publicly read the full 14-point memorandum of understanding text and released the official document, confirming the details of the agreement. Iran's president also published the document on social media, confirming the text's authenticity. This official release and confirmation caused the market to reach 100% certainty that the text was publicly available before the deadline.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding published by analysts and media
June 16 surges to 39%23%
On June 16, foreign policy analyst Josh Block and Saudi media published the full 14-point draft text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, detailing clauses on sanctions relief, oil exports, and further negotiations. Western media outlets such as the Wall Street Journal and Axios corroborated these details, confirming the authenticity of the text and boosting market confidence in the public release of the agreement text.
Jun 16 2026
Al Arabiya Publishes Leaked Text of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
June 16 surges to 59%46%
Saudi state-owned media outlet Al Arabiya obtained and published the full 14-point draft text of the US-Iran agreement, detailing sanctions relief, a $300 billion development fund, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked 14-point draft memorandum of understanding between US and Iran published
June 16 surges to 43%27%
On June 16, foreign policy analyst Josh Block and Saudi media published an identical version of the US-Iran MoU text, detailing all 14 clauses of the agreement to be signed on June 19. Western media outlets corroborated the authenticity of this leaked text, confirming public availability of the agreement's wording.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked and published full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding
June 17 surges to 70%47%
On June 16, multiple sources including foreign policy analysts and Saudi media published the leaked full text of the 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding, detailing ceasefire extension, sanctions relief, and regional security measures. This public release of the text caused a significant jump in market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes, confirming the availability of the agreement text to the public.
Jun 16 2026
Western Media Outlets Corroborate Leaked US-Iran Agreement Clauses
June 17 surges to 70%41%
Major Western news organizations, including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and Axios, confirmed the authenticity of the leaked 14-point agreement, driving up the probability of the June 17 outcome.
Jun 16 2026
Bloomberg publishes detailed 14-point draft memorandum of understanding
June 16 surges to 43%27%
Bloomberg News published the full 14-point draft MoU text on June 16, providing the most complete public accounting of the economic and diplomatic terms of the US-Iran agreement, confirming the text's wide availability to the public.
Jun 16 2026
Bloomberg publishes 14-point draft memorandum text between US and Iran
June 17 surges to 64%28%
On June 16, 2026, Bloomberg published the 14-point draft memorandum of understanding text between the US and Iran, providing the public with verbatim portions of the agreement text, which increased market confidence in a "Yes" resolution for text release by June 17 and beyond.
Jun 16 2026
US Vice President JD Vance confirms expectation of text release before signing
June 17 surges to 64%28%
On June 16, 2026, US Vice President JD Vance stated in interviews that the administration expected a full spectrum of representatives at the signing and indicated the finalized text was ready, signaling imminent public release and boosting market prices for near-term text availability.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, to halt hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, waive certain oil sanctions during talks, and launch 60 days of nuclear negotiations. The framework, mediated in part by Pakistan, sets a signing date of June 19 in Switzerland, with both sides confirming agreed wording. Media outlets obtained and published draft and full text details shortly afterward, including a 14-point structure covering ceasefire terms, sanctions relief pathways, and economic incentives tied to compliance. President Trump indicated public release would follow the ceremony, while administration briefings have already disclosed core elements. These developments have aligned trader consensus with rapid disclosure, as verified primary reporting and official statements confirm the text is now available ahead of the formal signing.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Na-propose ang outcome: No
Nai-dispute
Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Nai-dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding on June 15, 2026, to halt hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, waive certain oil sanctions during talks, and launch 60 days of nuclear negotiations. The framework, mediated in part by Pakistan, sets a signing date of June 19 in Switzerland, with both sides confirming agreed wording. Media outlets obtained and published draft and full text details shortly afterward, including a 14-point structure covering ceasefire terms, sanctions relief pathways, and economic incentives tied to compliance. President Trump indicated public release would follow the ceremony, while administration briefings have already disclosed core elements. These developments have aligned trader consensus with rapid disclosure, as verified primary reporting and official statements confirm the text is now available ahead of the formal signing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Jun 18 2026
Media outlets publish full text of US-Iran deal
June 17 rises to 100%2%
On June 18, 2026, multiple major news organizations published the full text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, confirming the text's wide public availability. This led to the market price reaching 100% for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes, indicating consensus that the text was released.
Jun 17 2026
US officially releases full 14-point memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 98%39%
The United States government officially released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, including provisions on ceasefire, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This official release confirmed the authenticity of the text and caused the market price to surge to near 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US releases full 14-point agreement text with Iran
June 17 surges to 100%64%
On June 17, 2026, the United States officially released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This public release confirmed the text's availability, causing a sharp rise in market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
Iran publishes official 14-point agreement text
June 17 surges to 100%64%
Iran's government published its copy of the 14-point framework deal on June 17, 2026, matching the US release and confirming the text's authenticity. This reinforced market confidence that the agreement text was widely available, supporting the price surge.
Jun 17 2026
Senior US official reads full text of US-Iran memorandum to reporters
June 17 surges to 100%64%
A senior US administration official publicly read the full 14-point memorandum of understanding on June 17, 2026, providing detailed provisions and timelines. This official disclosure further confirmed the text's public availability, solidifying market certainty.
Jun 17 2026
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly shares full US-Iran deal text
June 17 rises to 100%3%
On June 17, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian published the full text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding on his official social media account, confirming the authenticity and public availability of the agreement text. This official release further solidified market confidence, pushing prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes to 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US officials publicly release full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding
June 17 rises to 100%3%
On June 17, US officials publicly read out and released the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran, confirming the details of the agreement including ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear negotiation framework. This official disclosure confirmed the public availability of the agreement text, supporting the market's resolution to 'Yes' for June 17 and June 30.
Jun 17 2026
US releases official 14-point agreement text with Iran
The United States officially released the 14-point memorandum of understanding text, detailing the terms of the ceasefire, sanctions relief, and nuclear negotiations. This official release, alongside Iran's publication, confirmed the text's wide public availability and led to the market price reaching 100% for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
US officially releases full text of 14-point memorandum of understanding with Iran
June 17 surges to 100%41%
On June 17, the United States government officially released the full text of the memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing ceasefire terms, sanctions relief, and nuclear commitments. This official release confirmed the text's wide availability to the public, causing the market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes to reach 100%.
Jun 17 2026
Iran publishes its copy of the 14-point US-Iran framework deal
June 17 surges to 100%41%
On June 17, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian published Tehran's copy of the 14-point framework deal, matching the US release and confirming the text's authenticity and public availability. This further solidified market confidence in the text's release.
Jun 17 2026
Bloomberg reports Iran to resume oil exports under interim US deal
June 17 surges to 55%23%
On June 17, Bloomberg reported that Iran would be allowed to immediately start oil exports under the interim deal with the US, citing a draft of the agreement. This report included verbatim text excerpts, confirming public access to the agreement's wording.
Jun 17 2026
Insurance Journal publishes full 14-point draft memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 55%23%
Insurance Journal published the full text of the 14-point draft MoU on June 17, including detailed provisions about lifting the naval blockade and restoring shipping traffic, confirming the agreement text was widely available to the public.
Jun 17 2026
CNN Obtains and Publishes Full Text of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
June 17 surges to 83%40%
CNN published the full 14-point text of the memorandum of understanding obtained from a US official, confirming the exact wording of the agreement and causing a final surge in the June 17 and June 19 markets.
Jun 17 2026
US administration publicly releases full text of 14-point US-Iran agreement
June 17 surges to 100%70%
On June 17, 2026, the US government officially released the full text of the memorandum of understanding with Iran, detailing the ceasefire extension, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear program provisions. This public disclosure met the market's resolution criteria, causing prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes to surge to 100%.
Jun 17 2026
US administration officially releases full 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding text
June 17 surges to 100%68%
On June 17, 2026, a senior US administration official publicly read out and provided the full text of the 14-point memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran. This official release included detailed provisions on ceasefire, sanctions relief, nuclear commitments, and economic plans, fulfilling the market's criteria for public availability of the agreement text and causing a sharp rise in market prices for June 17 and June 30 outcomes.
Jun 17 2026
Multiple major news outlets publish full text of US-Iran agreement
June 17 surges to 100%45%
On June 17, major news organizations including CNN, The New York Times, Time, Euronews, and NBC News published the full text of the US-Iran 14-point agreement, confirming its wide public availability. This broad media dissemination solidified market confidence that the agreement text was publicly released by June 17.
Jun 17 2026
Senior US officials publicly read and release official 14-point US-Iran agreement text
June 17 surges to 100%17%
On June 17, senior US administration officials publicly read the full 14-point memorandum of understanding text and released the official document, confirming the details of the agreement. Iran's president also published the document on social media, confirming the text's authenticity. This official release and confirmation caused the market to reach 100% certainty that the text was publicly available before the deadline.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding published by analysts and media
June 16 surges to 39%23%
On June 16, foreign policy analyst Josh Block and Saudi media published the full 14-point draft text of the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, detailing clauses on sanctions relief, oil exports, and further negotiations. Western media outlets such as the Wall Street Journal and Axios corroborated these details, confirming the authenticity of the text and boosting market confidence in the public release of the agreement text.
Jun 16 2026
Al Arabiya Publishes Leaked Text of US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding
June 16 surges to 59%46%
Saudi state-owned media outlet Al Arabiya obtained and published the full 14-point draft text of the US-Iran agreement, detailing sanctions relief, a $300 billion development fund, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked 14-point draft memorandum of understanding between US and Iran published
June 16 surges to 43%27%
On June 16, foreign policy analyst Josh Block and Saudi media published an identical version of the US-Iran MoU text, detailing all 14 clauses of the agreement to be signed on June 19. Western media outlets corroborated the authenticity of this leaked text, confirming public availability of the agreement's wording.
Jun 16 2026
Leaked and published full text of US-Iran memorandum of understanding
June 17 surges to 70%47%
On June 16, multiple sources including foreign policy analysts and Saudi media published the leaked full text of the 14-point US-Iran memorandum of understanding, detailing ceasefire extension, sanctions relief, and regional security measures. This public release of the text caused a significant jump in market prices for the June 17 and June 30 outcomes, confirming the availability of the agreement text to the public.
Jun 16 2026
Western Media Outlets Corroborate Leaked US-Iran Agreement Clauses
June 17 surges to 70%41%
Major Western news organizations, including the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and Axios, confirmed the authenticity of the leaked 14-point agreement, driving up the probability of the June 17 outcome.
Jun 16 2026
Bloomberg publishes detailed 14-point draft memorandum of understanding
June 16 surges to 43%27%
Bloomberg News published the full 14-point draft MoU text on June 16, providing the most complete public accounting of the economic and diplomatic terms of the US-Iran agreement, confirming the text's wide availability to the public.
Jun 16 2026
Bloomberg publishes 14-point draft memorandum text between US and Iran
June 17 surges to 64%28%
On June 16, 2026, Bloomberg published the 14-point draft memorandum of understanding text between the US and Iran, providing the public with verbatim portions of the agreement text, which increased market confidence in a "Yes" resolution for text release by June 17 and beyond.
Jun 16 2026
US Vice President JD Vance confirms expectation of text release before signing
June 17 surges to 64%28%
On June 16, 2026, US Vice President JD Vance stated in interviews that the administration expected a full spectrum of representatives at the signing and indicated the finalized text was ready, signaling imminent public release and boosting market prices for near-term text availability.
Ang "US-Iran deal text released by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "June 17" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "June 19" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.
Sa ngayon, ang "US-Iran deal text released by...?" ay naka-generate ng $6.7 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 15, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.
Para mag-trade sa "US-Iran deal text released by...?," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.
Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "US-Iran deal text released by...?" ay "June 17" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "June 19" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.
Ang mga resolution rules para sa "US-Iran deal text released by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.
Oo. Hindi mo kailangang mag-trade para manatiling informed. Ang pahinang ito ay nagsisilbing live tracker para sa "US-Iran deal text released by...?." Nag-a-update ang outcome probabilities sa real-time habang pumasok ang mga bagong trade. Maaari mong i-bookmark ang pahinang ito at tingnan ang comments section para makita kung ano ang sinasabi ng ibang mga trader. Maaari mo ring gamitin ang time-range filters sa chart para makita kung paano nagbago ang odds sa paglipas ng panahon. Isang libre, real-time na bintana ito sa kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.
Ang Polymarket odds ay itinatakda ng mga tunay na trader na naglalagay ng tunay na pera sa kanilang mga paniniwala, na may tendensiyang maglabas ng mga tumpak na prediksiyon. Sa $6.7 million na na-trade sa "US-Iran deal text released by...?," pinagsasama-sama ng mga presyong ito ang kolektibong kaalaman at conviction ng libu-libong kalahok — na kadalasang mas mahusay kaysa sa mga poll, expert forecast, at tradisyonal na survey. Ang mga prediction market tulad ng Polymarket ay may malakas na track record ng accuracy, lalo na habang papalapit ang mga event sa kanilang resolution date. Halimbawa, ang Polymarket ay may one month accuracy score na 94%. Para sa pinakabagong stats sa prediction accuracy ng Polymarket, bisitahin ang accuracy page sa Polymarket.
Para ilagay ang iyong unang trade sa "US-Iran deal text released by...?," mag-sign up para sa libreng Polymarket account at i-fund ito gamit ang crypto, credit o debit card, o bank transfer. Kapag na-fund na ang iyong account, bumalik sa pahinang ito, piliin ang outcome na gusto mong i-trade, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bago ka sa prediction markets, i-click ang "How it works" link sa itaas ng anumang Polymarket page para sa mabilis na step-by-step walkthrough kung paano gumagana ang trading.
Sa Polymarket, ang presyo ng bawat outcome ay kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Ang presyong 100¢ para sa "June 17" sa "US-Iran deal text released by...?" market ay nangangahulugang kolektibong naniniwala ang mga trader na may halos 100% na tsansa na ang "June 17" ang magiging tamang resulta. Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares sa 100¢ at tama ang outcome, makakatanggap ka ng $1.00 per share — isang kita na 0¢ per share. Kung mali, ang mga share na iyon ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.
Ang "US-Iran deal text released by...?" market ay na-resolve na. Ang pinal na resulta ay natukoy na at hindi na bukas ang market para sa trading. Maaari mo pa ring i-review ang historical odds, outcome probabilities, at mga komento sa pahinang ito para makita kung paano nag-evolve ang predictions sa paglipas ng panahon.
Ang "US-Iran deal text released by...?" market ay may isang aktibong komunidad ng 302 mga komento kung saan nagbabahagi ang mga trader ng kanilang analysis, nag-debate ng mga outcome, at pinag-uusapan ang mga breaking development. Mag-scroll pababa sa comments section sa ibaba para basahin kung ano ang iniisip ng ibang kalahok. Maaari mo ring i-filter ayon sa "Top Holders" para makita kung saan nakaposisyon ang mga pinakamalaking trader ng market, o tingnan ang "Activity" tab para sa real-time feed ng mga trade.
Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa mga real-world events. Bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares sa mga outcome para sa mga paksang mula pulitika at eleksyon hanggang crypto, finance, sports, tech, at kultura, kasama ang mga market tulad ng "US-Iran deal text released by...?." Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction, na kadalasang nagbibigay ng mas mabilis at mas tumpak na signal kaysa sa mga poll, pundit, o tradisyonal na survey.
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