Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November general election, driven by the seat’s solid Republican lean after recent redistricting and his decisive June primary victory over state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee. Moore secured roughly 57-58% of the primary vote with endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising edge. The district’s partisan voter index and historical voting patterns favor Republicans by wide margins, limiting Democratic nominee Peter Crosby’s path. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November general election, driven by the seat’s solid Republican lean after recent redistricting and his decisive June primary victory over state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee. Moore secured roughly 57-58% of the primary vote with endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising edge. The district’s partisan voter index and historical voting patterns favor Republicans by wide margins, limiting Democratic nominee Peter Crosby’s path. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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