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icon for What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

icon for What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$0 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $50

$0 Vol.

26%

↑ $30

$0 Vol.

25%

↑ $25

$0 Vol.

50%

↓ $15

$0 Vol.

27%

↓ $10

$0 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify. The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies. A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation. The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Anthropic’s release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22, 2026, directly lowered the flagship output token price to $20 per million tokens from $25 on Opus 5, reflecting efficiency gains that cut typical workloads by about 40 percent.** The model matches or exceeds prior frontier performance in coding and agentic tasks while using fewer tokens and running over 30 percent faster, with cache reads falling 60 percent to $0.20 per million. This follows stable $25 output pricing across Opus 4.8 through Opus 5 earlier in 2026 and earlier cuts from $75 on 2025-era versions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-6 family and Google’s Gemini lineup, combined with Anthropic’s upcoming Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 releases plus its pre-IPO timing, supports trader expectations for further downward movement in the effective output price through year-end. Market-implied odds currently reflect these efficiency-driven repricing trends rather than any reversal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.

The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.

A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation.

The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify. The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies. A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation. The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify. The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies. A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation. The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Anthropic’s release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22, 2026, directly lowered the flagship output token price to $20 per million tokens from $25 on Opus 5, reflecting efficiency gains that cut typical workloads by about 40 percent.** The model matches or exceeds prior frontier performance in coding and agentic tasks while using fewer tokens and running over 30 percent faster, with cache reads falling 60 percent to $0.20 per million. This follows stable $25 output pricing across Opus 4.8 through Opus 5 earlier in 2026 and earlier cuts from $75 on 2025-era versions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-6 family and Google’s Gemini lineup, combined with Anthropic’s upcoming Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 releases plus its pre-IPO timing, supports trader expectations for further downward movement in the effective output price through year-end. Market-implied odds currently reflect these efficiency-driven repricing trends rather than any reversal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.

The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies.

A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation.

The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Opus, such as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify. The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge. Prices for batch, fast mode, cached, or US-only inference and other data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies. A price qualifies only while the model is Anthropic's latest Claude Opus model as defined above, after market creation. The resolution source for this market will be Anthropic's official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 24, 2026, 4:36 AM ET

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Ang "What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "↑ $25" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "↑ $50" sa 50%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 24, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang market na ito ay kamakailan lang nilikha at hindi pa nakakatanggap ng unang trade nito. Maging una sa pagtakda ng opening odds sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade, o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para bumalik habang umuunlad ang market.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.