Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% chance against Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, reflecting her pattern of brief detentions during pro-Palestine and climate protests without escalating to prolonged custody or new charges in recent months. Her December 2025 London arrest under the UK Terrorism Act for supporting banned group Palestine Action resulted in quick release on bail, with no reported court developments or re-arrest since March bail conditions lapsed. A brief Israeli detention during an April 4 Gaza flotilla interception ended in deportation without criminal charges. Absent fresh protest escalations or legal actions in the past 30 days, traders view structural barriers like her high-profile status and history of minor resolutions as tempering near-term arrest risks ahead of the deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$66,275 Hac.
$66,275 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$66,275 Hac.
$66,275 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% chance against Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, reflecting her pattern of brief detentions during pro-Palestine and climate protests without escalating to prolonged custody or new charges in recent months. Her December 2025 London arrest under the UK Terrorism Act for supporting banned group Palestine Action resulted in quick release on bail, with no reported court developments or re-arrest since March bail conditions lapsed. A brief Israeli detention during an April 4 Gaza flotilla interception ended in deportation without criminal charges. Absent fresh protest escalations or legal actions in the past 30 days, traders view structural barriers like her high-profile status and history of minor resolutions as tempering near-term arrest risks ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Hacim
$66,275Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% chance against Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, reflecting her pattern of brief detentions during pro-Palestine and climate protests without escalating to prolonged custody or new charges in recent months. Her December 2025 London arrest under the UK Terrorism Act for supporting banned group Palestine Action resulted in quick release on bail, with no reported court developments or re-arrest since March bail conditions lapsed. A brief Israeli detention during an April 4 Gaza flotilla interception ended in deportation without criminal charges. Absent fresh protest escalations or legal actions in the past 30 days, traders view structural barriers like her high-profile status and history of minor resolutions as tempering near-term arrest risks ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$66,275Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% chance against Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, reflecting her pattern of brief detentions during pro-Palestine and climate protests without escalating to prolonged custody or new charges in recent months. Her December 2025 London arrest under the UK Terrorism Act for supporting banned group Palestine Action resulted in quick release on bail, with no reported court developments or re-arrest since March bail conditions lapsed. A brief Israeli detention during an April 4 Gaza flotilla interception ended in deportation without criminal charges. Absent fresh protest escalations or legal actions in the past 30 days, traders view structural barriers like her high-profile status and history of minor resolutions as tempering near-term arrest risks ahead of the deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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