Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% for a new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027, driven by stalled normalization talks with Saudi Arabia—the leading candidate—amid demands for a clear path to Palestinian statehood. Despite President Trump's October-November 2025 statements expecting expansion and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's conditional interest tied to $1 trillion U.S. investments and Gaza progress, no agreements have materialized in early 2026. Kazakhstan's November 2025 formal accession marked the first addition since 2020 but faced criticism as largely symbolic given prior diplomatic ties since 1992. Ongoing regional tensions, including Israeli-Saudi frictions over transit routes and Palestinian issues, reinforce skepticism, though U.S.-brokered diplomacy could catalyze shifts before year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYeni bir ülke 2027 'den önce İbrahim Anlaşmalarına katılacak mı?
Yeni bir ülke 2027 'den önce İbrahim Anlaşmalarına katılacak mı?
Evet
$99,189 Hac.
$99,189 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$99,189 Hac.
$99,189 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% for a new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027, driven by stalled normalization talks with Saudi Arabia—the leading candidate—amid demands for a clear path to Palestinian statehood. Despite President Trump's October-November 2025 statements expecting expansion and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's conditional interest tied to $1 trillion U.S. investments and Gaza progress, no agreements have materialized in early 2026. Kazakhstan's November 2025 formal accession marked the first addition since 2020 but faced criticism as largely symbolic given prior diplomatic ties since 1992. Ongoing regional tensions, including Israeli-Saudi frictions over transit routes and Palestinian issues, reinforce skepticism, though U.S.-brokered diplomacy could catalyze shifts before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
Hacim
$99,189Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% for a new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027, driven by stalled normalization talks with Saudi Arabia—the leading candidate—amid demands for a clear path to Palestinian statehood. Despite President Trump's October-November 2025 statements expecting expansion and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's conditional interest tied to $1 trillion U.S. investments and Gaza progress, no agreements have materialized in early 2026. Kazakhstan's November 2025 formal accession marked the first addition since 2020 but faced criticism as largely symbolic given prior diplomatic ties since 1992. Ongoing regional tensions, including Israeli-Saudi frictions over transit routes and Palestinian issues, reinforce skepticism, though U.S.-brokered diplomacy could catalyze shifts before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$99,189Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% for a new country joining the Abraham Accords before 2027, driven by stalled normalization talks with Saudi Arabia—the leading candidate—amid demands for a clear path to Palestinian statehood. Despite President Trump's October-November 2025 statements expecting expansion and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's conditional interest tied to $1 trillion U.S. investments and Gaza progress, no agreements have materialized in early 2026. Kazakhstan's November 2025 formal accession marked the first addition since 2020 but faced criticism as largely symbolic given prior diplomatic ties since 1992. Ongoing regional tensions, including Israeli-Saudi frictions over transit routes and Palestinian issues, reinforce skepticism, though U.S.-brokered diplomacy could catalyze shifts before year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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