Trader consensus prices a low 13% chance of Israel officially annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the Israeli security cabinet's secret approval last week of over 30 new settler outposts and farms—steps toward de facto control via settlement expansion but not formal sovereignty extension under Israeli law. Despite far-right ministers like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich's repeated calls for full annexation, Prime Minister Netanyahu has historically deferred such moves amid U.S. opposition, including recent Trump administration statements, EU condemnations, and UN reports on displacement. Ongoing Gaza operations and Iran tensions further constrain bold West Bank actions, with no Knesset legislation or declarations imminent.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsrail, Batı Şeria topraklarını 2027 'den önce ilhak edecek mi
İsrail, Batı Şeria topraklarını 2027 'den önce ilhak edecek mi
Evet
$64,563 Hac.
$64,563 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$64,563 Hac.
$64,563 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a low 13% chance of Israel officially annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the Israeli security cabinet's secret approval last week of over 30 new settler outposts and farms—steps toward de facto control via settlement expansion but not formal sovereignty extension under Israeli law. Despite far-right ministers like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich's repeated calls for full annexation, Prime Minister Netanyahu has historically deferred such moves amid U.S. opposition, including recent Trump administration statements, EU condemnations, and UN reports on displacement. Ongoing Gaza operations and Iran tensions further constrain bold West Bank actions, with no Knesset legislation or declarations imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Hacim
$64,563Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a low 13% chance of Israel officially annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the Israeli security cabinet's secret approval last week of over 30 new settler outposts and farms—steps toward de facto control via settlement expansion but not formal sovereignty extension under Israeli law. Despite far-right ministers like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich's repeated calls for full annexation, Prime Minister Netanyahu has historically deferred such moves amid U.S. opposition, including recent Trump administration statements, EU condemnations, and UN reports on displacement. Ongoing Gaza operations and Iran tensions further constrain bold West Bank actions, with no Knesset legislation or declarations imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$64,563Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a low 13% chance of Israel officially annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the Israeli security cabinet's secret approval last week of over 30 new settler outposts and farms—steps toward de facto control via settlement expansion but not formal sovereignty extension under Israeli law. Despite far-right ministers like Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich's repeated calls for full annexation, Prime Minister Netanyahu has historically deferred such moves amid U.S. opposition, including recent Trump administration statements, EU condemnations, and UN reports on displacement. Ongoing Gaza operations and Iran tensions further constrain bold West Bank actions, with no Knesset legislation or declarations imminent.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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