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Siyaset·Orta Doğu

Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in bir sonraki Başbakanı kim olacak?

Market icon
Siyaset·Orta Doğu

Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in bir sonraki Başbakanı kim olacak?

Benjamin Netanyahu 44%

Naftali Bennett 27%

Gadi Eizenkot 18.3%

Yair Lapid 2.5%

Polymarket

$4,700,970 Hac.

Benjamin Netanyahu 44%

Naftali Bennett 27%

Gadi Eizenkot 18.3%

Yair Lapid 2.5%

Polymarket

$4,700,970 Hac.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$526,489 Hac.

44%

Naftali Bennett

$962,852 Hac.

27%

Gadi Eizenkot

$534,496 Hac.

18%

Yair Lapid

$324,747 Hac.

3%

Yariv Levin

$142,549 Hac.

1%

Avigdor Lieberman

$370,987 Hac.

1%

Benny Gantz

$189,375 Hac.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$136,018 Hac.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$375,803 Hac.

1%

Yair Golan

$263,697 Hac.

1%

İsrail Katz

$19,290 Hac.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$391,196 Hac.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$14,902 Hac.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$97,357 Hac.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$22,815 Hac.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$271,630 Hac.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$56,771 Hac.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Benjamin Netanyahu at 44% to remain Prime Minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, buoyed by recent polls showing him leading head-to-head matchups, such as 52% preference over Gadi Eisenkot's 22% and Naftali Bennett's 17% in an April 9 Channel 14 survey, despite Likud losing seats amid backlash to a temporary Iran ceasefire announced last week. Bennett's 26.5% reflects his Bennett 2026 party's right-wing consolidation, polling 7-10 seats as a potential Likud vote-splitter. Eisenkot's 18.3% rise stems from Yashar party's gains to 7-9 seats and topping opposition bloc preferences at 24-40% in late March polls, signaling security credentials amid tight coalition math where blocs hover near 60 seats each.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$4,700,970
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Benjamin Netanyahu at 44% to remain Prime Minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, buoyed by recent polls showing him leading head-to-head matchups, such as 52% preference over Gadi Eisenkot's 22% and Naftali Bennett's 17% in an April 9 Channel 14 survey, despite Likud losing seats amid backlash to a temporary Iran ceasefire announced last week. Bennett's 26.5% reflects his Bennett 2026 party's right-wing consolidation, polling 7-10 seats as a potential Likud vote-splitter. Eisenkot's 18.3% rise stems from Yashar party's gains to 7-9 seats and topping opposition bloc preferences at 24-40% in late March polls, signaling security credentials amid tight coalition math where blocs hover near 60 seats each.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$4,700,970
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in bir sonraki Başbakanı kim olacak?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 17 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 44% ile "Benjamin Netanyahu", ardından 27% ile "Naftali Bennett" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 44¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 44% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in bir sonraki Başbakanı kim olacak?" toplam $4.7 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Nov 15, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in bir sonraki Başbakanı kim olacak?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 17 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in bir sonraki Başbakanı kim olacak?" için mevcut favori 44% ile "Benjamin Netanyahu"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 44% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 27% ile "Naftali Bennett"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in bir sonraki Başbakanı kim olacak?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.