A fragile US-brokered ceasefire in Gaza, effective since October 2025, marks its six-month anniversary as of early April 2026, yet Israeli airstrikes and military raids continue amid reports of over 700 Palestinians killed since the truce, with Israel occupying more than half the territory and blocking full humanitarian access. No official announcements or preparations for a major IDF ground offensive have emerged in the past 30 days, as resources shift to Israel's ongoing ground invasion of southern Lebanon against Hezbollah—launched in March—and escalating tensions with Iran, including recent missile exchanges. Traders weigh these multi-front pressures alongside stalled hostage negotiations and aid disputes, with upcoming US-mediated talks on Lebanon potentially influencing Gaza dynamics, though no resolution date is set for this market.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$512,801 Hac.
31 Eki 2025
30 Haziran
28%
31 Aralık
49%
$512,801 Hac.
30 Haziran
$17,363 Hac.
28%
31 Aralık
$18,697 Hac.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A fragile US-brokered ceasefire in Gaza, effective since October 2025, marks its six-month anniversary as of early April 2026, yet Israeli airstrikes and military raids continue amid reports of over 700 Palestinians killed since the truce, with Israel occupying more than half the territory and blocking full humanitarian access. No official announcements or preparations for a major IDF ground offensive have emerged in the past 30 days, as resources shift to Israel's ongoing ground invasion of southern Lebanon against Hezbollah—launched in March—and escalating tensions with Iran, including recent missile exchanges. Traders weigh these multi-front pressures alongside stalled hostage negotiations and aid disputes, with upcoming US-mediated talks on Lebanon potentially influencing Gaza dynamics, though no resolution date is set for this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Hacim
$512,801Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2025Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A fragile US-brokered ceasefire in Gaza, effective since October 2025, marks its six-month anniversary as of early April 2026, yet Israeli airstrikes and military raids continue amid reports of over 700 Palestinians killed since the truce, with Israel occupying more than half the territory and blocking full humanitarian access. No official announcements or preparations for a major IDF ground offensive have emerged in the past 30 days, as resources shift to Israel's ongoing ground invasion of southern Lebanon against Hezbollah—launched in March—and escalating tensions with Iran, including recent missile exchanges. Traders weigh these multi-front pressures alongside stalled hostage negotiations and aid disputes, with upcoming US-mediated talks on Lebanon potentially influencing Gaza dynamics, though no resolution date is set for this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$512,801Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2025Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A fragile US-brokered ceasefire in Gaza, effective since October 2025, marks its six-month anniversary as of early April 2026, yet Israeli airstrikes and military raids continue amid reports of over 700 Palestinians killed since the truce, with Israel occupying more than half the territory and blocking full humanitarian access. No official announcements or preparations for a major IDF ground offensive have emerged in the past 30 days, as resources shift to Israel's ongoing ground invasion of southern Lebanon against Hezbollah—launched in March—and escalating tensions with Iran, including recent missile exchanges. Traders weigh these multi-front pressures alongside stalled hostage negotiations and aid disputes, with upcoming US-mediated talks on Lebanon potentially influencing Gaza dynamics, though no resolution date is set for this market.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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