Polymarket traders' consensus prices the Austin-Round Rock metro area's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) near $423,000 on April 30, with the 423-427k bin leading at 28% implied probability amid closely contested odds for adjacent ranges, signaling uncertainty over stabilization versus further softening. March 2026 ZHVI stood at $427,045, down 5.9% year-over-year, as elevated 30-year mortgage rates around 6.25% suppress affordability despite inventory swelling to over 15,000 active listings and 5.5 months' supply. Key swing factors include spring buying season momentum—bolstered by 5% higher March sales—and persistent price drops on 46% of listings, with April absorption rates below 22% favoring downside pressure ahead of May data releases.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWhat will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on April 30?
What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on April 30?
423 - 427k 28%
419 - 423k 22%
427 - 431k 20%
415 - 419k 13%
<415k
9%
415 - 419k
13%
419 - 423k
22%
423 - 427k
28%
427 - 431k
20%
431 - 435k
10%
435 - 439k
8%
>439k
7%
423 - 427k 28%
419 - 423k 22%
427 - 431k 20%
415 - 419k 13%
<415k
9%
415 - 419k
13%
419 - 423k
22%
423 - 427k
28%
427 - 431k
20%
431 - 435k
10%
435 - 439k
8%
>439k
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' consensus prices the Austin-Round Rock metro area's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) near $423,000 on April 30, with the 423-427k bin leading at 28% implied probability amid closely contested odds for adjacent ranges, signaling uncertainty over stabilization versus further softening. March 2026 ZHVI stood at $427,045, down 5.9% year-over-year, as elevated 30-year mortgage rates around 6.25% suppress affordability despite inventory swelling to over 15,000 active listings and 5.5 months' supply. Key swing factors include spring buying season momentum—bolstered by 5% higher March sales—and persistent price drops on 46% of listings, with April absorption rates below 22% favoring downside pressure ahead of May data releases.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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