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Ekonomi·Konut·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Ekonomi·Konut·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

1.226 - 1.244m 55.8%

1.208 - 1.226m 24%

1.19 - 1.208m 12%

1.172 - 1.19m 10%

Polymarket
YENİ

1.226 - 1.244m 55.8%

1.208 - 1.226m 24%

1.19 - 1.208m 12%

1.172 - 1.19m 10%

Polymarket
YENİ

<1.154m

$51 Hac.

7%

1.154 - 1.172m

$43 Hac.

6%

1.172 - 1.19m

$460 Hac.

12%

1.19 - 1.208m

$89 Hac.

12%

1.208 - 1.226m

$238 Hac.

28%

1.226 - 1.244m

$177 Hac.

56%

1.244 - 1.262m

$54 Hac.

9%

>1.262m

$48 Hac.

6%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for San Francisco metro median home value on April 30, with the 1.226-1.244 million bin at 43.6% implied probability edging the 1.172-1.19 million range at 37.5%, signaling uncertainty over spring momentum. Surging March 2026 median sale prices—reaching $2.15 million for single-family homes, up 18% year-over-year per Compass data—amid AI-fueled tech wealth and historic inventory lows have boosted sentiment for modest ZHVI appreciation from recent metro levels around $1.14 million. Countering this, persistent 6.5%+ mortgage rates constrain broader buyer participation, while Bay Area listings show mixed trends; key swing factors include April pending sales volume and days-on-market metrics ahead of Zillow's monthly update.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Hacim
$1,161
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for San Francisco metro median home value on April 30, with the 1.226-1.244 million bin at 43.6% implied probability edging the 1.172-1.19 million range at 37.5%, signaling uncertainty over spring momentum. Surging March 2026 median sale prices—reaching $2.15 million for single-family homes, up 18% year-over-year per Compass data—amid AI-fueled tech wealth and historic inventory lows have boosted sentiment for modest ZHVI appreciation from recent metro levels around $1.14 million. Countering this, persistent 6.5%+ mortgage rates constrain broader buyer participation, while Bay Area listings show mixed trends; key swing factors include April pending sales volume and days-on-market metrics ahead of Zillow's monthly update.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Hacim
$1,161
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 8 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 56% ile "1.226 - 1.244m", ardından 28% ile "1.208 - 1.226m" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 56¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 56% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Mar 30, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 8 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" için mevcut favori 56% ile "1.226 - 1.244m"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 56% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 28% ile "1.208 - 1.226m"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.