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Ekonomi·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?

Market icon
Ekonomi·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?

<336k 60%

338 - 340k 18%

340 - 342k 14%

342 - 344k 8.2%

Polymarket
YENİ

<336k 60%

338 - 340k 18%

340 - 342k 14%

342 - 344k 8.2%

Polymarket
YENİ

<336k

$1,317 Hac.

44%

336 - 338k

$78 Hac.

44%

338 - 340k

$78 Hac.

18%

340 - 342k

$155 Hac.

14%

342 - 344k

$138 Hac.

8%

344 - 346k

$78 Hac.

3%

346 - 348k

$78 Hac.

3%

>348k

$88 Hac.

3%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest for Chicago's median home value on April 30, with sub-$336,000 at 45% implied probability edging out the $336,000–$338,000 band at 42%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent low inventory amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.8%. Recent Zillow data pegs March median sale prices at $334,250, up modestly year-over-year but pressured by sluggish sales volume and a 0.99 sale-to-list ratio signaling limited price negotiation power for buyers. Low for-sale inventory (4,645 units) and new listings (1,718) underpin firmness, yet affordability strains from high rates cap upside; spring buying momentum or Federal Reserve signals on cuts could tip the balance higher into the 338k+ ranges by month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Hacim
$2,008
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest for Chicago's median home value on April 30, with sub-$336,000 at 45% implied probability edging out the $336,000–$338,000 band at 42%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent low inventory amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.8%. Recent Zillow data pegs March median sale prices at $334,250, up modestly year-over-year but pressured by sluggish sales volume and a 0.99 sale-to-list ratio signaling limited price negotiation power for buyers. Low for-sale inventory (4,645 units) and new listings (1,718) underpin firmness, yet affordability strains from high rates cap upside; spring buying momentum or Federal Reserve signals on cuts could tip the balance higher into the 338k+ ranges by month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Hacim
$2,008
Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 8 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 44% ile "<336k", ardından 44% ile "336 - 338k" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 44¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 44% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Mar 30, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 8 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" için mevcut favori 44% ile "<336k"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 44% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 44% ile "336 - 338k"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.