Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the NYC Parcl Labs Sales Price Index near the 582k–596k range by April 30, with razor-thin 43.5% implied probability for 589–596k edging out 42.0% for 582–589k, reflecting uncertainty over spring market momentum. March data revealed Manhattan median apartment prices up 5.2% to $1.225 million amid 30% contract growth and year-low inventory 10% below 2025 levels, supporting modest index appreciation; however, citywide inventory rose 20% quarter-over-quarter, tempering upside amid stable 6.5% mortgage rates. Key swing factors include accelerating buyer activity versus potential supply normalization, with April closing volumes and Fed policy signals as pivotal catalysts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWhat will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?
What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?
582 - 589k 37%
589 - 596k 29%
575 - 582k 17.8%
596 - 603k 16%
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
<568k
1%
568 - 575k
9%
575 - 582k
18%
582 - 589k
39%
589 - 596k
41%
596 - 603k
16%
603 - 610k
4%
>610k
4%
582 - 589k 37%
589 - 596k 29%
575 - 582k 17.8%
596 - 603k 16%
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
<568k
$95 Hac.
1%
568 - 575k
$132 Hac.
9%
575 - 582k
$617 Hac.
18%
582 - 589k
$2,413 Hac.
39%
589 - 596k
$431 Hac.
41%
596 - 603k
$177 Hac.
16%
603 - 610k
$76 Hac.
4%
>610k
$76 Hac.
4%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the NYC Parcl Labs Sales Price Index near the 582k–596k range by April 30, with razor-thin 43.5% implied probability for 589–596k edging out 42.0% for 582–589k, reflecting uncertainty over spring market momentum. March data revealed Manhattan median apartment prices up 5.2% to $1.225 million amid 30% contract growth and year-low inventory 10% below 2025 levels, supporting modest index appreciation; however, citywide inventory rose 20% quarter-over-quarter, tempering upside amid stable 6.5% mortgage rates. Key swing factors include accelerating buyer activity versus potential supply normalization, with April closing volumes and Fed policy signals as pivotal catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Hacim
$4,017Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the NYC Parcl Labs Sales Price Index near the 582k–596k range by April 30, with razor-thin 43.5% implied probability for 589–596k edging out 42.0% for 582–589k, reflecting uncertainty over spring market momentum. March data revealed Manhattan median apartment prices up 5.2% to $1.225 million amid 30% contract growth and year-low inventory 10% below 2025 levels, supporting modest index appreciation; however, citywide inventory rose 20% quarter-over-quarter, tempering upside amid stable 6.5% mortgage rates. Key swing factors include accelerating buyer activity versus potential supply normalization, with April closing volumes and Fed policy signals as pivotal catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Hacim
$4,017Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the NYC Parcl Labs Sales Price Index near the 582k–596k range by April 30, with razor-thin 43.5% implied probability for 589–596k edging out 42.0% for 582–589k, reflecting uncertainty over spring market momentum. March data revealed Manhattan median apartment prices up 5.2% to $1.225 million amid 30% contract growth and year-low inventory 10% below 2025 levels, supporting modest index appreciation; however, citywide inventory rose 20% quarter-over-quarter, tempering upside amid stable 6.5% mortgage rates. Key swing factors include accelerating buyer activity versus potential supply normalization, with April closing volumes and Fed policy signals as pivotal catalysts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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