Trader consensus prices Europe at 73% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers—including powerhouses like Spain, France, England, and Germany—bolstered by recent play-off triumphs for Bosnia and Herzegovina (over Italy on penalties), Sweden, Türkiye, and Czechia on March 31, securing maximum depth against weaker confederations. South America's 21% reflects CONMEBOL's six strong entrants led by defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose 2022 upset victory underscores realistic contention despite fewer slots. North America (hosts USA, Canada, Mexico plus Curaçao), Africa's ten (like Cape Verde debutants), Asia's eight (Japan, Uzbekistan), and Oceania's New Zealand trail due to historical underperformance in knockouts, with the full 48-team field now set ahead of the summer tournament in North America.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 FIFA Dünya Kupası'nı hangi kıta kazanacak?
2026 FIFA Dünya Kupası'nı hangi kıta kazanacak?
Avrupa 73%
Güney Amerika 21%
Kuzey Amerika 2.5%
Afrika 2.3%
$1,622,337 Hac.
$1,622,337 Hac.
Avrupa
73%
Güney Amerika
21%
Kuzey Amerika
2%
Afrika
2%
Asya
2%
Okyanusya
<1%
Avrupa 73%
Güney Amerika 21%
Kuzey Amerika 2.5%
Afrika 2.3%
$1,622,337 Hac.
$1,622,337 Hac.
Avrupa
$66,365 Hac.
73%
Güney Amerika
$61,789 Hac.
21%
Kuzey Amerika
$169,805 Hac.
2%
Afrika
$923,597 Hac.
2%
Asya
$190,685 Hac.
2%
Okyanusya
$210,097 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 73% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers—including powerhouses like Spain, France, England, and Germany—bolstered by recent play-off triumphs for Bosnia and Herzegovina (over Italy on penalties), Sweden, Türkiye, and Czechia on March 31, securing maximum depth against weaker confederations. South America's 21% reflects CONMEBOL's six strong entrants led by defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose 2022 upset victory underscores realistic contention despite fewer slots. North America (hosts USA, Canada, Mexico plus Curaçao), Africa's ten (like Cape Verde debutants), Asia's eight (Japan, Uzbekistan), and Oceania's New Zealand trail due to historical underperformance in knockouts, with the full 48-team field now set ahead of the summer tournament in North America.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Hacim
$1,622,337Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 73% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers—including powerhouses like Spain, France, England, and Germany—bolstered by recent play-off triumphs for Bosnia and Herzegovina (over Italy on penalties), Sweden, Türkiye, and Czechia on March 31, securing maximum depth against weaker confederations. South America's 21% reflects CONMEBOL's six strong entrants led by defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose 2022 upset victory underscores realistic contention despite fewer slots. North America (hosts USA, Canada, Mexico plus Curaçao), Africa's ten (like Cape Verde debutants), Asia's eight (Japan, Uzbekistan), and Oceania's New Zealand trail due to historical underperformance in knockouts, with the full 48-team field now set ahead of the summer tournament in North America.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$1,622,337Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Europe at 73% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers—including powerhouses like Spain, France, England, and Germany—bolstered by recent play-off triumphs for Bosnia and Herzegovina (over Italy on penalties), Sweden, Türkiye, and Czechia on March 31, securing maximum depth against weaker confederations. South America's 21% reflects CONMEBOL's six strong entrants led by defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose 2022 upset victory underscores realistic contention despite fewer slots. North America (hosts USA, Canada, Mexico plus Curaçao), Africa's ten (like Cape Verde debutants), Asia's eight (Japan, Uzbekistan), and Oceania's New Zealand trail due to historical underperformance in knockouts, with the full 48-team field now set ahead of the summer tournament in North America.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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