Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Avengers: Doomsday an overwhelming 78.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by explosive long-lead box office tracking reported just this week, positioning it as the year's top grosser amid Marvel's aggressive CinemaCon promotional push and franchise momentum from past Avengers records like Endgame's $357 million domestic debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 12.5% on strong trailer viewership records and summer slot appeal (July 31 release), while family tentpoles like Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie lag due to softer tracking and earlier-year competition already setting a high bar without breaking records. Dune: Messiah and others trail amid December crowding; watch for updated presale data and potential release shifts ahead of Q4 launches.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 'nın en büyük açılış hafta sonu hangi filmde?
2026 'nın en büyük açılış hafta sonu hangi filmde?
Avengers: Doomsday 79%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 12%
Oyuncak Hikâyesi 5 2.3%
Süper Mario Galaxy Filmi 1.8%
$1,421,018 Hac.
$1,421,018 Hac.
Avengers: Doomsday
79%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
12%
Oyuncak Hikâyesi 5
2%
Süper Mario Galaxy Filmi
2%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Odyssey
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Michael
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 79%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 12%
Oyuncak Hikâyesi 5 2.3%
Süper Mario Galaxy Filmi 1.8%
$1,421,018 Hac.
$1,421,018 Hac.
Avengers: Doomsday
79%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
12%
Oyuncak Hikâyesi 5
2%
Süper Mario Galaxy Filmi
2%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Odyssey
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Michael
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Avengers: Doomsday an overwhelming 78.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by explosive long-lead box office tracking reported just this week, positioning it as the year's top grosser amid Marvel's aggressive CinemaCon promotional push and franchise momentum from past Avengers records like Endgame's $357 million domestic debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 12.5% on strong trailer viewership records and summer slot appeal (July 31 release), while family tentpoles like Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie lag due to softer tracking and earlier-year competition already setting a high bar without breaking records. Dune: Messiah and others trail amid December crowding; watch for updated presale data and potential release shifts ahead of Q4 launches.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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