Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time, with no prison time at 33.1% edging out 10-20 years (25.8%) and 20-30 years (24.1%), driven by his ongoing third New York rape retrial where jury selection began this week in Manhattan. He's serving a consecutive 16-year California rape conviction from 2022 while appealing it and a 2025 New York sexual assault verdict upheld in January, after which he weighed a guilty plea for time served but proceeded to trial. At 73 with deteriorating health, Weinstein's recent Rikers Island interviews highlight isolation and pleas for leniency, fueling bets on potential compassionate release or overturned convictions amid #MeToo legal precedents. Key swings hinge on the retrial verdict, appeals, and sentencing this spring.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHarvey Weinstein'ın hapis cezası mı?
Harvey Weinstein'ın hapis cezası mı?
Hiç Hapis Cezası 33.1%
10-20 yıl 25.9%
20-30 yıl 24.1%
30+ yıl 8.7%
$829,880 Hac.
$829,880 Hac.
31 Ara 2025
Hiç Hapis Cezası
33%
<5 yıl
3%
5-10 yıl
6%
10-20 yıl
26%
20-30 yıl
24%
30+ yıl
9%
Hiç Hapis Cezası 33.1%
10-20 yıl 25.9%
20-30 yıl 24.1%
30+ yıl 8.7%
$829,880 Hac.
$829,880 Hac.
31 Ara 2025
Hiç Hapis Cezası
$316,709 Hac.
33%
<5 yıl
$92,584 Hac.
3%
5-10 yıl
$50,884 Hac.
6%
10-20 yıl
$137,922 Hac.
26%
20-30 yıl
$177,377 Hac.
24%
30+ yıl
$54,405 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time, with no prison time at 33.1% edging out 10-20 years (25.8%) and 20-30 years (24.1%), driven by his ongoing third New York rape retrial where jury selection began this week in Manhattan. He's serving a consecutive 16-year California rape conviction from 2022 while appealing it and a 2025 New York sexual assault verdict upheld in January, after which he weighed a guilty plea for time served but proceeded to trial. At 73 with deteriorating health, Weinstein's recent Rikers Island interviews highlight isolation and pleas for leniency, fueling bets on potential compassionate release or overturned convictions amid #MeToo legal precedents. Key swings hinge on the retrial verdict, appeals, and sentencing this spring.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Hacim
$829,880Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2025Piyasa Açıldı
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time, with no prison time at 33.1% edging out 10-20 years (25.8%) and 20-30 years (24.1%), driven by his ongoing third New York rape retrial where jury selection began this week in Manhattan. He's serving a consecutive 16-year California rape conviction from 2022 while appealing it and a 2025 New York sexual assault verdict upheld in January, after which he weighed a guilty plea for time served but proceeded to trial. At 73 with deteriorating health, Weinstein's recent Rikers Island interviews highlight isolation and pleas for leniency, fueling bets on potential compassionate release or overturned convictions amid #MeToo legal precedents. Key swings hinge on the retrial verdict, appeals, and sentencing this spring.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$829,880Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2025Piyasa Açıldı
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time, with no prison time at 33.1% edging out 10-20 years (25.8%) and 20-30 years (24.1%), driven by his ongoing third New York rape retrial where jury selection began this week in Manhattan. He's serving a consecutive 16-year California rape conviction from 2022 while appealing it and a 2025 New York sexual assault verdict upheld in January, after which he weighed a guilty plea for time served but proceeded to trial. At 73 with deteriorating health, Weinstein's recent Rikers Island interviews highlight isolation and pleas for leniency, fueling bets on potential compassionate release or overturned convictions amid #MeToo legal precedents. Key swings hinge on the retrial verdict, appeals, and sentencing this spring.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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