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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Технологія·додаток

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Технологія·додаток

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

Sep 18

Sep 18

Muse 30%

Google Gemini 27%

ChatGPT 24%

Vinted 22%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Muse 30%

Google Gemini 27%

ChatGPT 24%

Vinted 22%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Muse

Muse

$110 Обс.

39%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$50 Обс.

27%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Обс.

24%

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$5 Обс.

22%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$50 Обс.

21%

icon for Google Maps

Google Maps

$130 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta's recent U.S. launch of its standalone AI agent app Muse has driven its rapid climb to the #2 free spot on the Apple App Store charts, with over 83,000 iOS downloads in days, positioning it as the market favorite at 56% implied probability for September 18. Traders weigh this momentum against Muse's comparatively modest debut pace versus prior Meta releases like Threads or Meta AI, alongside ChatGPT's entrenched #1 ranking and steady Gemini presence. Competitive dynamics hinge on sustained download velocity and retention for agentic features—such as background task execution in secure virtual machines—versus broader chatbot ecosystems, with potential volatility from app updates, user migration among AI tools, or seasonal engagement shifts in the narrow window before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Обсяг
$345
Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta's recent U.S. launch of its standalone AI agent app Muse has driven its rapid climb to the #2 free spot on the Apple App Store charts, with over 83,000 iOS downloads in days, positioning it as the market favorite at 56% implied probability for September 18. Traders weigh this momentum against Muse's comparatively modest debut pace versus prior Meta releases like Threads or Meta AI, alongside ChatGPT's entrenched #1 ranking and steady Gemini presence. Competitive dynamics hinge on sustained download velocity and retention for agentic features—such as background task execution in secure virtual machines—versus broader chatbot ecosystems, with potential volatility from app updates, user migration among AI tools, or seasonal engagement shifts in the narrow window before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Обсяг
$345
Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Muse» з 39%, далі «Google Gemini» з 27%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 11, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?» — «Muse» з 39%. Наступний — «Google Gemini» з 27%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.