Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where OpenAI and Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think models reached gold-medal thresholds by solving five of six IMO problems for 35 points under official time limits, have boosted expectations, yet traders price “No” at 65% because 2026 problems could prove harder and frontier systems still face reliability gaps in fully autonomous, end-to-end reasoning without human steering or verification pipelines. Official participation rules, scoring verification by IMO committees, and the distinction between demonstrated benchmarks versus live competition performance add uncertainty, especially as open-weight models lag closed ones. Upcoming catalyst events include any confirmed entries or capability updates ahead of the July contest that could shift sentiment on whether general-purpose large language models close the remaining gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where OpenAI and Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think models reached gold-medal thresholds by solving five of six IMO problems for 35 points under official time limits, have boosted expectations, yet traders price “No” at 65% because 2026 problems could prove harder and frontier systems still face reliability gaps in fully autonomous, end-to-end reasoning without human steering or verification pipelines. Official participation rules, scoring verification by IMO committees, and the distinction between demonstrated benchmarks versus live competition performance add uncertainty, especially as open-weight models lag closed ones. Upcoming catalyst events include any confirmed entries or capability updates ahead of the July contest that could shift sentiment on whether general-purpose large language models close the remaining gap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,374Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where OpenAI and Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think models reached gold-medal thresholds by solving five of six IMO problems for 35 points under official time limits, have boosted expectations, yet traders price “No” at 65% because 2026 problems could prove harder and frontier systems still face reliability gaps in fully autonomous, end-to-end reasoning without human steering or verification pipelines. Official participation rules, scoring verification by IMO committees, and the distinction between demonstrated benchmarks versus live competition performance add uncertainty, especially as open-weight models lag closed ones. Upcoming catalyst events include any confirmed entries or capability updates ahead of the July contest that could shift sentiment on whether general-purpose large language models close the remaining gap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Обсяг
$8,374Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where OpenAI and Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think models reached gold-medal thresholds by solving five of six IMO problems for 35 points under official time limits, have boosted expectations, yet traders price “No” at 65% because 2026 problems could prove harder and frontier systems still face reliability gaps in fully autonomous, end-to-end reasoning without human steering or verification pipelines. Official participation rules, scoring verification by IMO committees, and the distinction between demonstrated benchmarks versus live competition performance add uncertainty, especially as open-weight models lag closed ones. Upcoming catalyst events include any confirmed entries or capability updates ahead of the July contest that could shift sentiment on whether general-purpose large language models close the remaining gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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