Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has anchored trader sentiment, with the model delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance at roughly half the price and immediate availability across major platforms. This rapid follow-on to the June Fable and Sonnet 5 launches reinforces Anthropic’s pace of iteration and has translated into dominant benchmark positioning and developer adoption ahead of the August 24 resolution. Qwen3.8-Max, released August 3, shows competitive strength in agentic coding and certain SWE harnesses, yet remains a narrower challenger with lower implied probability due to its later timing and less established overall leadership. No other models have posted comparable recent capability jumps, leaving the Claude Opus 5 variants as the clear market favorites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBest AI model on August 24?
Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-max 80%
Other 5.7%
claude-opus-5-high 4.9%
qwen3.8-max 2.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
80%
Other
6%
claude-opus-5-high
10%
qwen3.8-max
3%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
1%
claude-opus-5-max 80%
Other 5.7%
claude-opus-5-high 4.9%
qwen3.8-max 2.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
$577 Обс.
80%
Other
$369 Обс.
6%
claude-opus-5-high
$128 Обс.
10%
qwen3.8-max
$57 Обс.
3%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$109 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has anchored trader sentiment, with the model delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance at roughly half the price and immediate availability across major platforms. This rapid follow-on to the June Fable and Sonnet 5 launches reinforces Anthropic’s pace of iteration and has translated into dominant benchmark positioning and developer adoption ahead of the August 24 resolution. Qwen3.8-Max, released August 3, shows competitive strength in agentic coding and certain SWE harnesses, yet remains a narrower challenger with lower implied probability due to its later timing and less established overall leadership. No other models have posted comparable recent capability jumps, leaving the Claude Opus 5 variants as the clear market favorites.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,241Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has anchored trader sentiment, with the model delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance at roughly half the price and immediate availability across major platforms. This rapid follow-on to the June Fable and Sonnet 5 launches reinforces Anthropic’s pace of iteration and has translated into dominant benchmark positioning and developer adoption ahead of the August 24 resolution. Qwen3.8-Max, released August 3, shows competitive strength in agentic coding and certain SWE harnesses, yet remains a narrower challenger with lower implied probability due to its later timing and less established overall leadership. No other models have posted comparable recent capability jumps, leaving the Claude Opus 5 variants as the clear market favorites.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$1,241Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has anchored trader sentiment, with the model delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance at roughly half the price and immediate availability across major platforms. This rapid follow-on to the June Fable and Sonnet 5 launches reinforces Anthropic’s pace of iteration and has translated into dominant benchmark positioning and developer adoption ahead of the August 24 resolution. Qwen3.8-Max, released August 3, shows competitive strength in agentic coding and certain SWE harnesses, yet remains a narrower challenger with lower implied probability due to its later timing and less established overall leadership. No other models have posted comparable recent capability jumps, leaving the Claude Opus 5 variants as the clear market favorites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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