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Політика·Первинні

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Первинні

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Rhett Marques 56%

Jerry Carl 32%

Joshua McKee 7.2%

Austin Sidwell 5.8%

Polymarket

$38,584 Обс.

Rhett Marques 56%

Jerry Carl 32%

Joshua McKee 7.2%

Austin Sidwell 5.8%

Polymarket

$38,584 Обс.

Rhett Marques

$69 Обс.

56%

Jerry Carl

$404 Обс.

32%

Joshua McKee

$54 Обс.

7%

Austin Sidwell

$13,392 Обс.

6%

James Richardson

$5,444 Обс.

5%

John Mills

$15,127 Обс.

3%

James Dees

$4,094 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Rhett Marques leads trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability in the AL-01 Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Barry Moore's Senate bid, ahead of former Rep. Jerry Carl at 34.5%, as recent Q1 fundraising revealed Marques' superior $826,000 cash on hand despite Carl's slight raise edge, enabling aggressive final advertising before the May 19 vote or potential June 16 runoff. A March 31-April 2 PI Polling survey of 505 likely voters showed Carl narrowly ahead 23%-19% amid 50% undecideds, but Marques' endorsements from Sen. Katie Britt and House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter signal momentum in this tightening contest, diverging from polls while other candidates like Austin Sidwell and Joshua McKee trail with fragmented support. The April 15 candidate forum highlighted attack lines, including an ALFA endorsement spat favoring Carl.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$38,584
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Rhett Marques leads trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability in the AL-01 Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Barry Moore's Senate bid, ahead of former Rep. Jerry Carl at 34.5%, as recent Q1 fundraising revealed Marques' superior $826,000 cash on hand despite Carl's slight raise edge, enabling aggressive final advertising before the May 19 vote or potential June 16 runoff. A March 31-April 2 PI Polling survey of 505 likely voters showed Carl narrowly ahead 23%-19% amid 50% undecideds, but Marques' endorsements from Sen. Katie Britt and House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter signal momentum in this tightening contest, diverging from polls while other candidates like Austin Sidwell and Joshua McKee trail with fragmented support. The April 15 candidate forum highlighted attack lines, including an ALFA endorsement spat favoring Carl.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$38,584
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«AL-01 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Rhett Marques» з 56%, далі «Jerry Carl» з 32%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «AL-01 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $38.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «AL-01 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «AL-01 Republican Primary Winner» — «Rhett Marques» з 56%. Наступний — «Jerry Carl» з 32%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «AL-01 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.