Alabama's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting, with the open position created by incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid leaving the GOP primary as the decisive contest. Three Republican candidates—former Rep. Jerry Carl, John Mills, and Austin Sidwell—compete in the August 11 special primary, while Democrat Clyde Jones advances as the unchallenged general-election nominee. The district's core counties, including Mobile and Baldwin, have delivered consistent Republican margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, supported by voter registration advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors, though a fractured primary producing an unusually weak standard-bearer or an unforeseen national midterm shift could narrow the gap before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$40,456 Обс.
$40,456 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
3%
$40,456 Обс.
$40,456 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,124 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$21,332 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting, with the open position created by incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid leaving the GOP primary as the decisive contest. Three Republican candidates—former Rep. Jerry Carl, John Mills, and Austin Sidwell—compete in the August 11 special primary, while Democrat Clyde Jones advances as the unchallenged general-election nominee. The district's core counties, including Mobile and Baldwin, have delivered consistent Republican margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, supported by voter registration advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors, though a fractured primary producing an unusually weak standard-bearer or an unforeseen national midterm shift could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,456Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting, with the open position created by incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid leaving the GOP primary as the decisive contest. Three Republican candidates—former Rep. Jerry Carl, John Mills, and Austin Sidwell—compete in the August 11 special primary, while Democrat Clyde Jones advances as the unchallenged general-election nominee. The district's core counties, including Mobile and Baldwin, have delivered consistent Republican margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, supported by voter registration advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors, though a fractured primary producing an unusually weak standard-bearer or an unforeseen national midterm shift could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$40,456Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting, with the open position created by incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid leaving the GOP primary as the decisive contest. Three Republican candidates—former Rep. Jerry Carl, John Mills, and Austin Sidwell—compete in the August 11 special primary, while Democrat Clyde Jones advances as the unchallenged general-election nominee. The district's core counties, including Mobile and Baldwin, have delivered consistent Republican margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, supported by voter registration advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors, though a fractured primary producing an unusually weak standard-bearer or an unforeseen national midterm shift could narrow the gap before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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