Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD clustered between roughly 12% and 22%, producing a fragmented field where fourth place remains highly contested. The July resignation of CDU lead candidate Kai Wegner amid criticism over a major power outage, followed by Stefan Evers’s replacement, has contributed to volatility in the center-right vote. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights this uncertainty, with multiple parties holding comparable implied probabilities for finishing fourth. Scheduled campaign events and final-week polling shifts before election day could still reorder the middle rankings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGrüne 53%
AfD 15%
Linke 14%
CDU 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
53%
AfD
15%
Linke
14%
CDU
17%
SPD
8%
FDP
5%
BSW
4%
FW
11%
Grüne 53%
AfD 15%
Linke 14%
CDU 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$1,373 Обс.
53%
AfD
$36 Обс.
15%
Linke
$110 Обс.
14%
CDU
$36 Обс.
17%
SPD
$36 Обс.
8%
FDP
$99 Обс.
5%
BSW
$51 Обс.
4%
FW
$84 Обс.
11%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD clustered between roughly 12% and 22%, producing a fragmented field where fourth place remains highly contested. The July resignation of CDU lead candidate Kai Wegner amid criticism over a major power outage, followed by Stefan Evers’s replacement, has contributed to volatility in the center-right vote. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights this uncertainty, with multiple parties holding comparable implied probabilities for finishing fourth. Scheduled campaign events and final-week polling shifts before election day could still reorder the middle rankings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,823Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD clustered between roughly 12% and 22%, producing a fragmented field where fourth place remains highly contested. The July resignation of CDU lead candidate Kai Wegner amid criticism over a major power outage, followed by Stefan Evers’s replacement, has contributed to volatility in the center-right vote. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights this uncertainty, with multiple parties holding comparable implied probabilities for finishing fourth. Scheduled campaign events and final-week polling shifts before election day could still reorder the middle rankings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Обсяг
$1,823Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD clustered between roughly 12% and 22%, producing a fragmented field where fourth place remains highly contested. The July resignation of CDU lead candidate Kai Wegner amid criticism over a major power outage, followed by Stefan Evers’s replacement, has contributed to volatility in the center-right vote. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights this uncertainty, with multiple parties holding comparable implied probabilities for finishing fourth. Scheduled campaign events and final-week polling shifts before election day could still reorder the middle rankings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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