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icon for FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Первинні

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Первинні

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner

$15,421 Обс.

Polymarket

$15,421 Обс.

Jared Moskowitz

$6,348 Обс.

50%

Oliver Adams Larkin

$9,072 Обс.

40%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the FL-23 Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting his fundraising dominance with over $1.7 million raised through Q1 2026 and cash-on-hand superiority, bolstered by name recognition from his 2022 and 2024 victories in this D+2 district. Challenger Oliver Larkin has surged to 40% implied probability, fueled by recent progressive endorsements including Progressive Change Campaign Committee (April 20), MPower Action (April 17), and national Democratic Socialists of America (April 2), plus a March poll showing him leading 49-36 after balanced bios amid voter opposition to U.S. military aid to Israel (63% favor reduction or cessation). Upcoming FEC reports and the June 12 filing deadline could further shape the closely contested matchup.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$15,421
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the FL-23 Democratic primary on August 18, reflecting his fundraising dominance with over $1.7 million raised through Q1 2026 and cash-on-hand superiority, bolstered by name recognition from his 2022 and 2024 victories in this D+2 district. Challenger Oliver Larkin has surged to 40% implied probability, fueled by recent progressive endorsements including Progressive Change Campaign Committee (April 20), MPower Action (April 17), and national Democratic Socialists of America (April 2), plus a March poll showing him leading 49-36 after balanced bios amid voter opposition to U.S. military aid to Israel (63% favor reduction or cessation). Upcoming FEC reports and the June 12 filing deadline could further shape the closely contested matchup.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$15,421
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jared Moskowitz» з 50%, далі «Oliver Adams Larkin» з 40%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $15.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 19, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Jared Moskowitz» з 50%. Наступний — «Oliver Adams Larkin» з 40%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.