Beatriz Mojica Morga holds the highest implied probability in the Guerrero gubernatorial race at 54.3 percent, reflecting trader consensus around her position as a sitting Morena senator and frontrunner in recent polling that showed her with a substantial lead in a potential Morena-PVEM-PT coalition. The election is scheduled for June 6, 2027, leaving ample time for party nomination processes, internal primaries, and coalition negotiations that remain unresolved. Multiple lower-probability candidates across parties keep the field fragmented, with limited liquidity on most names contributing to the flat 50 percent levels for many entrants. Key upcoming catalysts include Morena's candidate selection timeline, potential opposition alliances, and any shifts in state-level polling or endorsements that could consolidate support ahead of the general ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBeatriz Mojica Morga 54.3%
Julián López Galeana 19.8%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 17%
Héctor Astudillo Flores 17%

Beatriz Mojica Morga
54%

Julián López Galeana
20%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
16%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
17%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
11%

Mario Moreno Arcos
11%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
5%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
5%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
5%

Esthela Damián Peralta
5%

Abelina López Rodríguez
5%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
4%

Rubén Cayetano García
4%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
4%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
4%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
4%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
4%

Alberto López Rosas
3%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
13%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
3%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
3%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
3%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
3%

Manuel Añorve Baños
3%

Iván Hernández Díaz
2%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
2%

Carlos Reyes Torres
2%

Erika Lorena Lührs
2%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 54.3%
Julián López Galeana 19.8%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 17%
Héctor Astudillo Flores 17%

Beatriz Mojica Morga
54%

Julián López Galeana
20%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
16%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
17%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
11%

Mario Moreno Arcos
11%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
5%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
5%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
5%

Esthela Damián Peralta
5%

Abelina López Rodríguez
5%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
4%

Rubén Cayetano García
4%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
4%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
4%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
4%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
4%

Alberto López Rosas
3%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
13%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
3%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
3%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
3%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
3%

Manuel Añorve Baños
3%

Iván Hernández Díaz
2%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
2%

Carlos Reyes Torres
2%

Erika Lorena Lührs
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Beatriz Mojica Morga holds the highest implied probability in the Guerrero gubernatorial race at 54.3 percent, reflecting trader consensus around her position as a sitting Morena senator and frontrunner in recent polling that showed her with a substantial lead in a potential Morena-PVEM-PT coalition. The election is scheduled for June 6, 2027, leaving ample time for party nomination processes, internal primaries, and coalition negotiations that remain unresolved. Multiple lower-probability candidates across parties keep the field fragmented, with limited liquidity on most names contributing to the flat 50 percent levels for many entrants. Key upcoming catalysts include Morena's candidate selection timeline, potential opposition alliances, and any shifts in state-level polling or endorsements that could consolidate support ahead of the general ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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