Incumbent Rep. Jill Tokuda's commanding fundraising lead and unchallenged status in Hawaii's solidly Democratic 2nd Congressional District fuel the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner on November 3, 2026. March 31 campaign finance filings show Tokuda with $592,000 cash-on-hand in her Democratic primary bid versus Republican Brenton Awa's $23,000, ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primaries. The D+12 district has delivered Tokuda 66.5% in 2024 and 62.2% in 2022, per consistent Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Realistic challenges include a well-funded GOP recruit, Tokuda scandal, primary upset, or Republican midterm wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHI-02 House Election Winner
HI-02 House Election Winner
$40,406 Обс.
$40,406 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$40,406 Обс.
$40,406 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$31,544 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$8,862 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jill Tokuda's commanding fundraising lead and unchallenged status in Hawaii's solidly Democratic 2nd Congressional District fuel the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner on November 3, 2026. March 31 campaign finance filings show Tokuda with $592,000 cash-on-hand in her Democratic primary bid versus Republican Brenton Awa's $23,000, ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primaries. The D+12 district has delivered Tokuda 66.5% in 2024 and 62.2% in 2022, per consistent Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Realistic challenges include a well-funded GOP recruit, Tokuda scandal, primary upset, or Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$40,406Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jill Tokuda's commanding fundraising lead and unchallenged status in Hawaii's solidly Democratic 2nd Congressional District fuel the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner on November 3, 2026. March 31 campaign finance filings show Tokuda with $592,000 cash-on-hand in her Democratic primary bid versus Republican Brenton Awa's $23,000, ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primaries. The D+12 district has delivered Tokuda 66.5% in 2024 and 62.2% in 2022, per consistent Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Realistic challenges include a well-funded GOP recruit, Tokuda scandal, primary upset, or Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$40,406Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jill Tokuda's commanding fundraising lead and unchallenged status in Hawaii's solidly Democratic 2nd Congressional District fuel the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner on November 3, 2026. March 31 campaign finance filings show Tokuda with $592,000 cash-on-hand in her Democratic primary bid versus Republican Brenton Awa's $23,000, ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primaries. The D+12 district has delivered Tokuda 66.5% in 2024 and 62.2% in 2022, per consistent Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Realistic challenges include a well-funded GOP recruit, Tokuda scandal, primary upset, or Republican midterm wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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