**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on July 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,319 Обс.
$189,319 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,319 Обс.
$189,319 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
29°C or below
$2,948 Обс.
No
30°C
$5,702 Обс.
No
31°C
$38,116 Обс.
No
32°C
$25,220 Обс.
No
33°C
$61,255 Обс.
No
34°C
$30,944 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$8,882 Обс.
No
36°C
$4,382 Обс.
No
37°C
$2,617 Обс.
No
38°C
$2,951 Обс.
No
39°C or higher
$6,301 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$189,319Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$189,319Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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