Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,393 Обс.
$98,393 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,393 Обс.
$98,393 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
19°C or below
$15,005 Обс.
No
20°C
$12,437 Обс.
No
21°C
$22,268 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$19,785 Обс.
No
23°C
$15,865 Обс.
No
24°C
$4,176 Обс.
No
25°C
$3,538 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,516 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,773 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,073 Обс.
No
29°C or higher
$957 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$98,393Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$98,393Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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