Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
88-89°F 100%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,817 Обс.
$71,817 Обс.
Apr 17, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,817 Обс.
$71,817 Обс.
Apr 17, 2026
77°F or below
$3,884 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$1,915 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$2,151 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$2,093 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$20,080 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$5,134 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$10,699 Обс.
Yes
90-91°F
$10,142 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$7,206 Обс.
No
94-95°F
$3,655 Обс.
No
96°F or higher
$4,858 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$71,817Дата завершення
Apr 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$71,817Дата завершення
Apr 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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