Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24 clustering around 17–18 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favors a typical mid-winter regime under the influence of the South Atlantic High, with light onshore flow and marine-layer stratus keeping daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17 °C. Recent surface analyses show persistent cloud and fog along the West Coast, limiting solar heating, while any modest northerly wind shift or slight ridging could push readings to 19 °C or hold them at 16 °C. With probabilities spread across several outcomes, the market reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and advection just 48 hours out, and updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 24?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$39,899 Обс.
$39,899 Обс.
Jul 24, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$39,899 Обс.
$39,899 Обс.
Jul 24, 2026
12°C or below
$433 Обс.
No
13°C
$468 Обс.
No
14°C
$665 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,486 Обс.
No
16°C
$4,369 Обс.
No
17°C
$4,711 Обс.
No
18°C
$13,860 Обс.
Yes
19°C
$5,504 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,921 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,226 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$2,257 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24 clustering around 17–18 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favors a typical mid-winter regime under the influence of the South Atlantic High, with light onshore flow and marine-layer stratus keeping daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17 °C. Recent surface analyses show persistent cloud and fog along the West Coast, limiting solar heating, while any modest northerly wind shift or slight ridging could push readings to 19 °C or hold them at 16 °C. With probabilities spread across several outcomes, the market reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and advection just 48 hours out, and updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,899Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24 clustering around 17–18 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favors a typical mid-winter regime under the influence of the South Atlantic High, with light onshore flow and marine-layer stratus keeping daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17 °C. Recent surface analyses show persistent cloud and fog along the West Coast, limiting solar heating, while any modest northerly wind shift or slight ridging could push readings to 19 °C or hold them at 16 °C. With probabilities spread across several outcomes, the market reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and advection just 48 hours out, and updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$39,899Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 24 clustering around 17–18 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favors a typical mid-winter regime under the influence of the South Atlantic High, with light onshore flow and marine-layer stratus keeping daytime maxima near the July climatological average of 17 °C. Recent surface analyses show persistent cloud and fog along the West Coast, limiting solar heating, while any modest northerly wind shift or slight ridging could push readings to 19 °C or hold them at 16 °C. With probabilities spread across several outcomes, the market reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and advection just 48 hours out, and updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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