Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 8?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,745 Обс.
$99,745 Обс.
May 8, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,745 Обс.
$99,745 Обс.
May 8, 2026
71°F or below
$16,190 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$7,550 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$10,157 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$6,092 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$13,285 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$7,362 Обс.
Yes
82-83°F
$8,719 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$7,154 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$8,634 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$7,559 Обс.
No
90°F or higher
$7,042 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Обсяг
$99,745Дата завершення
May 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$99,745Дата завершення
May 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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