Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on April 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 30?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$109,734 Обс.
$109,734 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$109,734 Обс.
$109,734 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
25°C or below
$10,076 Обс.
No
26°C
$16,903 Обс.
No
27°C
$22,629 Обс.
No
28°C
$11,554 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$8,413 Обс.
No
30°C
$7,062 Обс.
No
31°C
$9,049 Обс.
No
32°C
$5,103 Обс.
No
33°C
$5,003 Обс.
No
34°C
$5,151 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$8,792 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$109,734Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$109,734Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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