Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,519 Обс.
$89,519 Обс.
May 4, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,519 Обс.
$89,519 Обс.
May 4, 2026
24°C or below
$18,128 Обс.
No
25°C
$12,306 Обс.
No
26°C
$14,108 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$11,977 Обс.
No
28°C
$8,444 Обс.
No
29°C
$8,349 Обс.
No
30°C
$6,344 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,964 Обс.
No
32°C
$1,440 Обс.
No
33°C
$1,666 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$1,792 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Обсяг
$89,519Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$89,519Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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