Current ensemble forecasts from major models show notable uncertainty for Istanbul's July 3 maximum, with some runs indicating possible cooling from northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or early thunderstorm activity that could cap highs near or below seasonal norms around 27–28°C. This supports the tight market clustering between the 24°C-or-below and 28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine divergence between cooler solutions and warmer, clearer scenarios. Historical July averages near 28°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and sea-breeze influences introduce variability that traders weigh heavily ahead of updated model cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 3?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$53,023 Обс.
$53,023 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$53,023 Обс.
$53,023 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
24°C or below
$574 Обс.
No
25°C
$669 Обс.
No
26°C
$2,643 Обс.
No
27°C
$3,784 Обс.
No
28°C
$20,943 Обс.
No
29°C
$9,003 Обс.
Yes
30°C
$7,907 Обс.
No
31°C
$2,485 Обс.
No
32°C
$1,514 Обс.
No
33°C
$2,026 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$1,476 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show notable uncertainty for Istanbul's July 3 maximum, with some runs indicating possible cooling from northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or early thunderstorm activity that could cap highs near or below seasonal norms around 27–28°C. This supports the tight market clustering between the 24°C-or-below and 28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine divergence between cooler solutions and warmer, clearer scenarios. Historical July averages near 28°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and sea-breeze influences introduce variability that traders weigh heavily ahead of updated model cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,023Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show notable uncertainty for Istanbul's July 3 maximum, with some runs indicating possible cooling from northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or early thunderstorm activity that could cap highs near or below seasonal norms around 27–28°C. This supports the tight market clustering between the 24°C-or-below and 28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine divergence between cooler solutions and warmer, clearer scenarios. Historical July averages near 28°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and sea-breeze influences introduce variability that traders weigh heavily ahead of updated model cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$53,023Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current ensemble forecasts from major models show notable uncertainty for Istanbul's July 3 maximum, with some runs indicating possible cooling from northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or early thunderstorm activity that could cap highs near or below seasonal norms around 27–28°C. This supports the tight market clustering between the 24°C-or-below and 28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine divergence between cooler solutions and warmer, clearer scenarios. Historical July averages near 28°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and sea-breeze influences introduce variability that traders weigh heavily ahead of updated model cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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