Latest forecast model consensus from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 18, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 17–18 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (39.5 %) and 17 °C (27.5 %) outcomes. July climatology shows average daily highs near 15 °C, yet recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong cold-air advection or frontal passage, keeping readings several degrees above seasonal norms. Model spread remains modest for this 24–36-hour horizon, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could still adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF over the next 12 hours will provide the clearest signal for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 18?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$89,906 Обс.
$89,906 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$89,906 Обс.
$89,906 Обс.
Jul 18, 2026
12°C or below
$918 Обс.
No
13°C
$240 Обс.
No
14°C
$1,018 Обс.
No
15°C
$3,747 Обс.
No
16°C
$9,307 Обс.
No
17°C
$11,550 Обс.
No
18°C
$11,572 Обс.
No
19°C
$14,642 Обс.
Yes
20°C
$22,445 Обс.
No
21°C
$7,310 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$7,158 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 18, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 17–18 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (39.5 %) and 17 °C (27.5 %) outcomes. July climatology shows average daily highs near 15 °C, yet recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong cold-air advection or frontal passage, keeping readings several degrees above seasonal norms. Model spread remains modest for this 24–36-hour horizon, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could still adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF over the next 12 hours will provide the clearest signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$89,906Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 18, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 17–18 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (39.5 %) and 17 °C (27.5 %) outcomes. July climatology shows average daily highs near 15 °C, yet recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong cold-air advection or frontal passage, keeping readings several degrees above seasonal norms. Model spread remains modest for this 24–36-hour horizon, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could still adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF over the next 12 hours will provide the clearest signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$89,906Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest forecast model consensus from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 18, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 17–18 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (39.5 %) and 17 °C (27.5 %) outcomes. July climatology shows average daily highs near 15 °C, yet recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong cold-air advection or frontal passage, keeping readings several degrees above seasonal norms. Model spread remains modest for this 24–36-hour horizon, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could still adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF over the next 12 hours will provide the clearest signal for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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