Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,401 Обс.
$54,401 Обс.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,401 Обс.
$54,401 Обс.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
$4,081 Обс.
No
16°C
$5,773 Обс.
No
17°C
$8,358 Обс.
No
18°C
$5,231 Обс.
Yes
19°C
$3,433 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,839 Обс.
No
21°C
$5,457 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,935 Обс.
No
23°C
$4,608 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,796 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$3,890 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$54,401Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$54,401Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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