Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 22?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,620 Обс.
$80,620 Обс.
Apr 22, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,620 Обс.
$80,620 Обс.
Apr 22, 2026
16°C or below
$5,158 Обс.
No
17°C
$3,398 Обс.
No
18°C
$3,537 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,974 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,757 Обс.
No
21°C
$13,346 Обс.
No
22°C
$10,121 Обс.
No
23°C
$10,422 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$8,200 Обс.
No
25°C
$8,271 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$9,437 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$80,620Дата завершення
Apr 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$80,620Дата завершення
Apr 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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