Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on July 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 24?
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 25%
90-91°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 24, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 25%
90-91°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 24, 2026
81°F or below
$225 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$320 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$174 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$463 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$9 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$182 Обс.
6%
92-93°F
$216 Обс.
27%
94-95°F
$61 Обс.
43%
96-97°F
$269 Обс.
25%
98-99°F
$61 Обс.
3%
100°F or higher
$78 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,058Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,058Дата завершення
Jul 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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