Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 21?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$40,309 Обс.
$40,309 Обс.
May 21, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$40,309 Обс.
$40,309 Обс.
May 21, 2026
24°C or below
$353 Обс.
No
25°C
$650 Обс.
No
26°C
$983 Обс.
No
27°C
$748 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,556 Обс.
No
29°C
$5,162 Обс.
No
30°C
$6,377 Обс.
No
31°C
$2,998 Обс.
No
32°C
$7,898 Обс.
No
33°C
$5,885 Обс.
Yes
34°C or higher
$7,700 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$40,309Дата завершення
May 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$40,309Дата завершення
May 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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