Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,725 Обс.
$119,725 Обс.
May 7, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,725 Обс.
$119,725 Обс.
May 7, 2026
24°C or below
$7,554 Обс.
No
25°C
$7,021 Обс.
No
26°C
$14,061 Обс.
No
27°C
$19,209 Обс.
No
28°C
$16,668 Обс.
No
29°C
$13,467 Обс.
Yes
30°C
$10,389 Обс.
No
31°C
$11,879 Обс.
No
32°C
$6,416 Обс.
No
33°C
$7,077 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$5,985 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Обсяг
$119,725Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$119,725Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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