Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$43,580 Обс.
$43,580 Обс.
May 6, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$43,580 Обс.
$43,580 Обс.
May 6, 2026
19°C or below
$5,771 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,385 Обс.
No
21°C
$2,074 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,534 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,839 Обс.
No
24°C
$2,642 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,534 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,487 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,159 Обс.
No
28°C
$4,640 Обс.
No
29°C or higher
$4,517 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$43,580Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$43,580Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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