Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$64,057 Обс.
$64,057 Обс.
May 7, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$64,057 Обс.
$64,057 Обс.
May 7, 2026
16°C or below
$520 Обс.
No
17°C
$2,533 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,006 Обс.
No
19°C
$4,563 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,449 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,257 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,099 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,584 Обс.
No
24°C
$7,570 Обс.
No
25°C
$16,305 Обс.
Yes
26°C or higher
$16,172 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Обсяг
$64,057Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$64,057Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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